Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 7 Ravens vs Buccaneers pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Tampa Bay.

ESPN will broadcast the week seven non-conference matchup between the Ravens and Buccaneers, which is set to kick off at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 21st. The Ravens are the road favorite with a point spread of -3.5 and money line odds of -193. The game, played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, has the Buccaneers at +160 on the money line and an over/under line of 48 points.

Ravens vs. Buccaneers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Where: Tampa Bay at Raymond James Stadium
Date: Monday, October 21st
Betting Odds BAL -3.5, BAL -193 | TB +160 O/U 48

Ravens Preview:

After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with four consecutive wins, including a 30-23 victory over the Commanders in week 6. Baltimore was a 7-point favorite in that game, so the win was a push against the spread. However, the 53 combined points were enough to hit the over, which has now come through in two straight Ravens games.

Heading into week 7, Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings and has a 70.9% chance of winning the AFC North and a 93.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-2-1 against the spread this season, with a +4.7 scoring margin. The over is 5-1 in their games, with an average of 54.3 points scored.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Ravens lead the NFL in passing yards per game (453.7) and are 3rd in points per game with 29.5. They also rank 8th in passing yards per game, despite being 21st in pass attempts. Baltimore has relied heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (205.3). Derrick Henry rushed for 132 yards on 24 carries in week 6, while Lamar Jackson threw for 323 yards and a touchdown, going 20/26.

On 3rd down, the Ravens have been excellent, converting 51.5% of their attempts, which ranks 1st in the NFL. However, they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 3rd in red zone attempts. In week 6, they converted 6 of 10 3rd downs and scored on 3 of 4 red zone trips.

Ravens Team Defense

The Ravens' defense gave up two passing touchdowns in their 30-23 win over the Commanders, allowing 253 passing yards on 24 completions. Washington finished with 305 total yards, with Baltimore limiting them to just 52 rushing yards on 18 attempts. The Ravens' defense also recorded three sacks and held Washington to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Despite allowing a couple of passing scores, the Ravens' defense made things difficult on Washington's offense, particularly in the running game, where they allowed just 2.9 yards per attempt. Baltimore's defense also had four more quarterback hits than Washington in the game.

Buccaneers Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Buccaneers hold a 4-2 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. After a week 5 loss to the Falcons, Tampa Bay bounced back with a 51-27 win over the Saints, improving their division record to 1-1. The Bucs are 4-1 in conference play and 2-1 both at home and on the road.

Our projections give the Buccaneers a 69.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44.1% chance of winning the NFC South. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of +6.2 points per game. Tampa Bay is 4-2 against the spread and has hit the over in three straight games.

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Buccaneers are 7th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 29.7 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. They are 9th in total yards per game with 367.2, and they rank 11th in passing yards per game (230.3) on 31.5 attempts per game. On the ground, Tampa Bay is 18th in rushing attempts per game and 8th in rushing yards per game, averaging 136.8. They have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.1% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the league, but they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage despite being 4th in attempts.

Baker Mayfield threw for 325 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 6, but he also had 3 interceptions. Chris Godwin led the team with 11 catches for 125 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Sean Tucker rushed for 136 yards on 14 carries. The Bucs scored 20 points in the 4th quarter against the Saints, following 7 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters and 17 in the 1st.

Buccaneers Team Defense

In their 51-27 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers' defense allowed just 81 rushing yards on 21 attempts. They also came away with two interceptions and five sacks, while holding the Saints to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. Tampa Bay gave up 222 passing yards and one passing touchdown, with opposing quarterbacks completing just 55% of their passes.

The Buccaneers' defense was also disruptive in the backfield, winning the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in their most recent game.

Ravens vs Buccaneers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Baltimore has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 25 points per game.
Through their last ten home games, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 26 points per game.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Baltimore has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.