Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Wild Card round Steelers vs Ravens pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Baltimore.

You can catch this AFC North matchup between the Ravens and Steelers at 8:00 ET on AMZN. The Ravens are heavily favored at -530 on the money line, while the Steelers are +399. The over/under line is at 45.5 points, and the Ravens are -9.5 on the point spread. This wild card round game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

Steelers vs. Ravens Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Where: Baltimore at M&T Bank Stadium
Date: Saturday, January 11th
Betting Odds BAL -9.5, PIT +399 | BAL -530 O/U 45.5

Steelers Preview:

After finishing the regular season with a 10-7 record, the Steelers enter the playoffs as the 6th seed in the AFC, ending a four-game losing streak with a win over the Falcons in week 18. This includes a 3-3 record in the AFC North, where they rank 2nd. Heading into the postseason, Pittsburgh was 15th in our power rankings.

Against the spread, the Steelers went 11-6, with a +1.9 scoring margin. They were 5-3 as favorites and 6-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record was 8-9, with an average of 42.8 points in their games.

Steelers Offense Breakdown

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Steelers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.4 points per game, and 23rd in total yards, with 319.4 per game. Pittsburgh has leaned on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards, with 127.4 per game. On the other hand, they rank 27th in passing yards, averaging 192 per game on 29.4 attempts.

In their week 3 win over the Chargers, the Steelers scored 10 points in the 4th quarter. Justin Fields threw for 245 yards, completing 25 of 32 passes, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Najee Harris rushed for 70 yards on 18 carries, while Calvin Austin III led the team in receiving with 4 catches for 95 yards and a touchdown.

Steelers Team Defense

In their 19-17 loss to the Bengals, the Steelers' defense gave up 314 yards, but did a good job against the run, allowing just 68 yards on 21 attempts. They also recorded four sacks and held Cincinnati to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down. However, the Bengals found success through the air, completing 37 passes for 246 yards and one touchdown. Pittsburgh's defense also struggled to get off the field, as the Bengals had an 80.4% completion percentage.

Ravens Preview:

The Ravens ended the regular season with a 12-5 record, putting them first in the AFC North and third in the conference. After losing to the Eagles in week 13, they bounced back with four straight wins, including a 35-10 victory over the Browns in week 18. Baltimore easily covered the 20-point spread in that game and also hit the over, with the teams combining for 45 points against a 42-point line.

Heading into the playoffs, the Ravens rank second in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.2 and are 10-6-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 13-4, with their games averaging 51.7 points per game.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Ravens are 1st in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (424.9) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.5. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 187.6 rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they rank 3rd in the NFL with a 48.2% conversion rate, but they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 31st in conversion percentage.

In week 3, Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 139, completing 12 of 15 passes for 182 yards and a touchdown. Derrick Henry rushed for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries, while Nelson Agholor led the team in receiving with a 56-yard catch. Baltimore scored 14 points in the 1st quarter but was held scoreless in the 4th.

Ravens Team Defense

In their 35-10 win over the Browns, the Ravens' defense allowed just 56 rushing yards on 19 attempts. The defense picked off two passes, held the Browns to 33.3% on third down, and limited Cleveland to 174 passing yards. The Ravens gave up just one touchdown and recorded two sacks in the game.

Baltimore's defense made things difficult for the Browns, as they finished with a completion percentage of just 52.9%. The Ravens' secondary was particularly strong, allowing only 5.1 yards per attempt in the passing game.

Steelers vs Ravens Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their three previous road games, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 24 points per game.
In their last five home games, Baltimore has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 17. The team's record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Steelers have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Ravens have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.