Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 1 Ravens vs Chiefs pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -152 as they prepare to face the Ravens on Thursday, September 5th at 8:20 ET. The over/under line is at 46.5 points, and the Ravens are +3 point underdogs on the road. This week one AFC matchup is being televised on NBC, with the Chiefs hosting the Ravens at Arrowhead Stadium.

Ravens vs. Chiefs Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs
  • Where: Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Date: Thursday, September 5th
  • Betting Odds KC -3, BAL +127 | KC -152 O/U 46.5

Ravens Preview:

The Ravens are coming off a season in which they advanced to the AFC Conference Championship before falling to the Chiefs, 17-10. Baltimore finished the 2023 regular season with a 13-4 record, putting them 1st in the AFC North and 1st in the AFC overall. They were dominant in non-conference games, going 5-0, and excelled against above .500 teams, posting an 11-5 record. Against teams with below .500 records, they went 3-0.

As the favorite, the Ravens went 12-4, and they were 2-1 as the underdog. Their success on the road contributed to their strong season, as they went 7-1, although they were just 7-4 at home. The Ravens also performed well against the spread, with a 12-7 record, going 10-6 as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. The over/under record in Baltimore's games was 8-10-1, with an average of 43.9 points per game.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

The Ravens were 8th in passing yards per attempt last season, despite ranking 29th in passing attempts per game. They were 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 27.7 points per game, and were also 4th in both home and road scoring, averaging 30.1 points at home and 24.5 on the road. Baltimore's offense was 8th in the league in terms of power rankings.

On the ground, the Ravens led the NFL in both rushing attempts and yards, averaging 156.4 yards per game on the ground. They were also 3rd in rushing yards per attempt. In the red zone, the Ravens had the 2nd most attempts but were 31st in red zone conversion percentage.

Ravens Team Defense

Even though they were 29th in passing attempts against, the Ravens' defense was the best in the NFL last season, allowing just 16.2 points per game. They were also the top-ranked unit in terms of yards allowed, giving up only 297.6 yards per game. Baltimore excelled in getting to the quarterback, leading the league in sacks and finishing 6th in quarterback hits.

Opposing quarterbacks managed a collective passer rating of only 71.64 against the Ravens, the best mark in the league. Baltimore also excelled in taking the ball away, leading the NFL with 31 takeaways, and had the best turnover differential in the league. In the running game, they gave up the fewest rushing touchdowns last season.

Chiefs Preview:

The Ravens are coming off a season in which they advanced to the AFC Conference Championship before falling to the Chiefs, 17-10. Baltimore finished the 2023 regular season with a 13-4 record, putting them 1st in the AFC North and 1st in the AFC overall. They were dominant in non-conference games, going 5-0, and excelled against above .500 teams, posting an 11-5 record. Against teams with below .500 records, they went 3-0.

As the favorite, the Ravens went 12-4, and they were 2-1 as the underdog. Their success on the road contributed to their strong season, as they went 7-1, although they were just 7-4 at home. The Ravens also performed well against the spread, with a 12-7 record, going 10-6 as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. The over/under record in Baltimore's games was 8-10-1, with an average of 43.9 points per game.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

At home, the Chiefs were 4-4 as home favorites and 1-0 as home underdogs. They were 7-4 against above .500 teams and 8-2 against below .500 teams. Their overall record last season was 11-6, and they finished 3rd in the AFC and 1st in the AFC West with a 4-2 division record. The Chiefs also went 3-3 in non-conference games. Their over/under record was 6-14-1, with their games averaging a combined 39.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Chiefs were 13-7-1. They were 8-7-1 vs. the spread as the favorite and a perfect 5-0 vs. the spread as the underdog. Their games ranked 27th in the league in average combined scoring. The Chiefs' ATS record was 6-3-1 on the road and 7-4 at home.

Chiefs Team Defense

Despite finishing 13th in takeaways, the Chiefs' defense was one of the best in the NFL last season, allowing just 17 points per game, the 2nd best figure in the league. They excelled in getting to the quarterback, finishing 2nd in both sacks and quarterback hits. Overall, they allowed just 298.9 yards per game, ranking 5th in the league.

The Chiefs also excelled in defending the pass, giving up only 185.8 yards per game, the 4th best figure in the NFL. Against the run, they gave up 4.5 yards per attempt, ranking 10th in the league. Additionally, they were tough in the red zone, allowing a 50% red zone scoring percentage, which was 8th best in the NFL.

Ravens vs Chiefs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Baltimore has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Across their last three home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 19 points per game.
  • The Ravens have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Ravens vs Chiefs Free Pick

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