Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 16 Giants vs Falcons pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Atlanta.

With the Giants at +9.5 on the point spread, they are big underdogs as they head to Atlanta to face the Falcons at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons are favored on the money line at -512. This week 16 NFC matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 41.5 points.

Giants vs. Falcons Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
Where: Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Betting Odds ATL -9.5, NYG +378 | ATL -512 O/U 41.5

Giants Preview:

The Giants enter week 16 against the Falcons looking to snap a nine-game losing streak. New York’s record now sits at 2-12, with both of their wins coming on the road. They are 0-8 at home this season, including a 35-14 loss to the Ravens in week 15. The Giants were unable to cover the spread as 16.5-point underdogs in that game, bringing their ATS record to 4-10.

Heading into week 16, the Giants rank 31st in our NFL power rankings and have a -8.6 scoring margin this season. Their O/U record is 5-9, with an average of 38.3 points per game in their matchups. The over/under line has averaged 41.6 points in Giants games this year.

Giants Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Giants rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 14.9 points per game. They are 28th in the NFL in total yards per game (296.4) and 30th in passing yards, despite ranking 6th in pass attempts per game. On the ground, they average 111.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 17th, on 25.4 attempts per contest.

In week 15, New York struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 12 attempts, but they did score on 1 of 2 red zone trips. Tim Boyle threw for 123 yards, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, while Malik Nabers led the team with 10 catches for 82 yards. Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries.

Giants Team Defense

In their 35-14 loss to the Ravens, the Giants' defense struggled to get off the field, allowing Baltimore to convert on 81.8% of their third down attempts. The Giants gave up 275 passing yards on 21 completions, with five of those completions going for touchdowns. The Ravens were highly efficient, completing 84% of their passes.

On the ground, the Giants allowed 170 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with Baltimore averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. Despite these struggles, the Giants' defense did manage to record three sacks in the game.

Falcons Preview:

After four straight losses, the Falcons got back in the win column in week 15, defeating the Raiders 15-9. This puts Atlanta at 7-7 on the season, including a 4-1 record in the NFC South. They currently sit 2nd in the division and 9th in the conference. Our projections give them a 28.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.3% chance of winning the division.

Heading into week 16, the Falcons rank 19th in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of -3.5 points per game. Against the spread, they are 5-8-1, with a 4-4-1 record as favorites and a 1-4 mark as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 45.4 points and the O/U line averaging 46.3 points.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Falcons rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.9, and 9th in yards per game, with 363.1. Atlanta's passing game ranks 6th in the league, with 238.9 yards per game, on 32.8 attempts per contest. They also rank 11th in rushing, with 124.2 yards per game, on 28.3 attempts.

In week 15, Kirk Cousins threw for 112 yards (11/17) and a touchdown, with one interception. Bijan Robinson had 125 rushing yards on 22 carries, and Drake London caught 3 passes for 53 yards and a touchdown. The Falcons scored 7 points in the first quarter but did not reach the red zone in their win over the Raiders.

Falcons Team Defense

Atlanta's defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed just 184 passing yards on 23 completions for the Raiders. The Falcons picked off two passes and held Las Vegas to a 59% completion percentage. They also gave up just one touchdown and held the Raiders to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down.

The Falcons' defense also had four sacks in their 15-9 win over the Raiders. On the ground, Las Vegas managed only 65 rushing yards on 22 attempts. Despite their offensive struggles, the Falcons' defense helped secure the win by limiting the Raiders' big plays and keeping them out of the end zone for most of the game.

Giants vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Giants have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
In their last ten games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
The last five games that New York was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 0-5 straight up.
The last ten games that Atlanta was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 7-3 straight up.