Check out our free Cowboys vs Falcons pick and preview for this NFL week 9 game in Atlanta. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 9 regular season matchup.
The Falcons are favored at -145 on the money line as they host the Cowboys at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This week nine NFC matchup is being televised on FOX. The Falcons are -2.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is sitting at 52 points. The Cowboys and Falcons both need to add their current season records.
Cowboys vs. Falcons Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NFL
- Teams: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons
- Where: Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Date: Sunday, November 3rd
- Betting Odds ATL -2.5, DAL +122 | ATL -145 O/U 52
Cowboys Preview:
Heading into week 9, the Cowboys are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 30-24 road loss to the 49ers in week 8. This dropped Dallas to 3-4 on the season, with all three of their wins coming on the road. They currently rank 3rd in the NFC East and 23rd in our NFL power rankings, giving them a 12.2% chance of making the playoffs.
Dallas has an average scoring margin of -6.9 points per game and is 2-5 against the spread. They are 0-2 ATS as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-2, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Cowboys Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 9, the Cowboys rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.4 points per game. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.4) and are 3rd in passing yards, with 256 per game. However, they rank 25th in rushing attempts and are last in rushing yards, averaging just 74.1 per game. On 3rd down, they convert 40% of the time, which ranks 10th in the league, and they are 4th in red zone conversion percentage at 73.7%.
In week 8, Dak Prescott threw for 243 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 25 of 38 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions. CeeDee Lamb had a big game, with 13 catches for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing with 34 yards on 10 carries. The Cowboys scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the 49ers, but it wasn't enough to avoid a 30-24 loss.
Cowboys Team Defense
In their 30-24 loss to the 49ers, the Cowboys' defense gave up 223 rushing yards on 36 attempts, including a 75-yard touchdown run by Elijah Mitchell. Despite this, the defense did manage to sack the quarterback twice. The 49ers' ground game was a big factor, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt and helping them finish with 469 total yards.
The Cowboys' defense also struggled against the pass, allowing 18 completions for 246 yards and a touchdown. Opposing offenses are finding success on third downs against Dallas, as the 49ers converted on 50% of their third down attempts in this game. Additionally, Dallas had a tough time generating consistent pressure, losing the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials.Falcons Preview:
With a 5-3 record, the Falcons sit atop the NFC South, including a 4-0 record in division play. Our projections give Atlanta a 77.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 70.1% chance of winning the division. They rank 15th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 9.
Atlanta bounced back from a week 7 loss to the Seahawks with a 31-26 road win over the Buccaneers in week 8. The Falcons covered the 1.5-point spread, and the 57 combined points went over the 47.5-point line. Their O/U record is 4-4 this season, and they are 4-4 against the spread.
Falcons Offense Breakdown
After a rough outing in week 7, Kirk Cousins bounced back in week 8 with a stellar performance, throwing for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, posting a passer rating of 145. The Falcons' offense was strong on third downs, converting 6 of 12, and they scored on their only red zone trip. Kyle Pitts led the receiving corps with 4 catches for 91 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Bijan Robinson had 63 rushing yards on 13 carries.
Heading into week 9, the Falcons rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.2 points per game, and 7th in total yards with 371.6 per game. Atlanta ranks 6th in passing yards per game (250.9) and 15th in rushing, averaging 120.8 yards on the ground.
Falcons Team Defense
Despite allowing 432 total yards, the Falcons' defense came up with two interceptions in their 31-26 win over the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay found success through the air, with 37 completions for 330 yards and three touchdowns. Atlanta struggled to defend the run, as the Buccaneers averaged 4.6 yards per attempt on 102 yards.
Atlanta's defense couldn't generate much pressure, as they didn't record any sacks in the game. The Falcons also struggled on third downs, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 64.3% of their third down attempts. Even with these defensive struggles, Atlanta still managed to come out on top.
Cowboys vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Through their last ten road games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 24 points per game.
- The Falcons are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Falcons have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Cowboys vs Falcons Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Cowboys +2.5 Be sure to check out our other NFL Football betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.