UCLA Bruins vs USC Trojans Matchup

Check out our free USC Trojans vs UCLA Bruins pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Pasadena. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

USC and UCLA are set to face off in a week 13 matchup at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena. Kick-off is scheduled for 10:30 ET, and the game will be broadcast on NBC. The Trojans come in with a 5-5 record, and the Bruins are 4-6 on the season. The Trojans are favored at -4.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 51.5 points.

Trojans vs. Bruins Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins
Where: Pasadena at Rose Bowl
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds USC -4.5, USC -195 | UCLA +162 O/U 51.5

Trojans Preview:

USC enters Week 13 against UCLA with a 5-5 record, ranked 16th in our power rankings. They are 5-0 at home but 0-4 on the road. The Trojans have an 82.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections.

USC’s ATS record stands at 5-4, with a perfect 5-0 mark at home and 0-4 on the road. They’ve been favored in eight games, going 4-4 ATS as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 51.5 points. USC’s games have averaged 52.3 points, and their average over/under line has been 54.4 points, with a -2.1 margin against the total.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

USC’s offense ranks 40th in points per game, averaging 30.3, but they are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their passing game is a major strength, ranking 7th in both passing attempts and completions, and they are 15th in passing yards, averaging 288 yards per game. They convert 46.8% of their third downs, ranking 17th nationally.

Miller Moss has thrown for 2,555 yards with a 64.4% completion rate, leading the Trojans’ passing attack. He has 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passer rating of 91. Woody Marks has rushed for 1,024 yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Makai Lemon leads the receivers with 463 yards and three touchdowns.

Trojans Team Defense

USC's defense has been ranked 35th nationally, allowing 22 points per game this season. They’ve given up 233.1 passing yards per game, ranking 106th, and a 67% completion rate, which is 150th in the country. Against the run, they’ve allowed 133.7 yards per game on 30.4 attempts, the 21st fewest rushing attempts faced in the nation.

In their recent game against Nebraska, USC’s defense allowed 20 points and 310 total yards. Nebraska ran the ball 25 times for 119 yards, while USC’s secondary gave up 191 passing yards but also came away with two interceptions.

Bruins Preview:

USC’s ATS record stands at 5-4, with a perfect 5-0 mark at home and 0-4 on the road. They’ve been favored in eight games, going 4-4 ATS as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 51.5 points. USC’s games have averaged 52.3 points, and their average over/under line has been 54.4 points, with a -2.1 margin against the total.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18.8 points per game, which ranks 90th nationally. Heading into week 13, they are 58th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack has been particularly weak, with only 87.4 yards per game, placing them 122nd in the country.

Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 2,174 yards, and UCLA ranks 35th in passing attempts per game. Garbers has 14 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, with a passer rating of 86. UCLA is 32nd in passing completions per game and 26th in completion percentage, connecting on 64.7% of their throws.

Bruins Team Defense

UCLA's defense, ranked 12th nationally against the run, has allowed just 101.3 rushing yards per game on 29.8 attempts, the 16th fewest in the country. In their recent game against Washington, they gave up 124 rushing yards and 182 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 92 passer rating and 245.7 passing yards per game against UCLA, completing 65.9% of their throws. The Bruins are currently ranked 63rd in the nation, allowing 27.1 points per game.

Trojans vs Bruins Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the USC Trojans have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
The UCLA Bruins are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
Through their last five games as the underdog, the UCLA Bruins have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the USC Trojans have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.