Texas State Bobcats vs UL Monroe Warhawks Matchup

Check out our free Texas State Bobcats vs UL Monroe Warhawks pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Monroe. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

Heading into this week 11 matchup, the Texas State Bobcats are on the road vs. the UL Monroe Warhawks. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET at Malone Stadium in Monroe. The Bobcats are favored by -7 points, and the over/under line is currently 48.5 points. You can catch this one on ESNU. The Bobcats come in with a 4-4 record, while the Warhawks are 5-3 this season.

Bobcats vs. Warhawks Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Texas State Bobcats at UL Monroe Warhawks
Where: Monroe at Malone Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds TXST -7, TXST -274 | LAMON +221 O/U 48.5

Bobcats Preview:

Texas State heads into Week 11 against UL Monroe with a 4-4 record. They are 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this season. Despite being favored in seven of their eight games, they’ve gone 3-4 as the favorite. The Bobcats have a 92.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to our projections.

Texas State’s average scoring margin is +9.9 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread this season. Their over/under record is 2-4-1, with their games averaging 55.1 points. The average over/under line for their games has been 59.4 points, but this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.

As the favorite, Texas State is 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-2 record at home and 1-2 on the road. They rank 65th in our power rankings and have a 1.3% chance of winning the Sun Belt this season.

Bobcats Offense Breakdown

Texas State’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 32nd in the nation. They are ranked 49th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Jordan McCloud has thrown for 1,974 yards and 20 touchdowns, with seven interceptions. He has a passer rating of 107. Texas State ranks 25th in completions per game and 45th in passing yards per game.

McCloud’s completion rate is 68.3%, and Texas State is 9th nationally in completion percentage, completing 68.9% of their passes. They convert 45.2% of their third downs. On the ground, they average 186.4 rushing yards per game. Ismail Mahdi leads the rushing attack with 728 yards. Joey Hobert has caught 51 passes for 513 yards and seven touchdowns.

Bobcats Team Defense

Texas State’s defense is ranked 28th in the nation, allowing 22.6 points per game. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 23 points and 424 total yards, including 252 passing yards and 172 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 144.2 rushing yards per game and 211.6 passing yards against Texas State, completing 56.6% of their passes. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 81.3 when facing the Bobcats’ defense.

Warhawks Preview:

As the favorite, Texas State is 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-2 record at home and 1-2 on the road. They rank 65th in our power rankings and have a 1.3% chance of winning the Sun Belt this season.

Warhawks Offense Breakdown

UL Monroe’s offense ranks 91st in our power rankings heading into week 11, averaging 22.1 points per game. Their passing game has been a weakness, with just 129.9 yards per game, placing them 123rd nationally. They convert only 33.6% of their third downs and rank 117th in passer rating.

Quarterback Aidan Armenta has thrown for 781 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions. UL Monroe’s strength is their rushing attack, averaging 179.9 yards per game. Ahmad Hardy leads the team with 812 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.

Warhawks Team Defense

UL Monroe's defense, ranked 38th nationally, is allowing 24.2 points per game this season. In their recent game against Marshall, they gave up 28 points, including three rushing touchdowns, and allowed 371 total yards, with 205 yards on the ground.

Opponents have averaged 188.6 rushing yards per game against UL Monroe, while the secondary has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game, ranking 34th in the nation. Quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 74.1 against the Warhawks’ defense.

Bobcats vs Warhawks Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Texas State Bobcats have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 32 points per game in this stretch.
In their last five games at home, the UL Monroe Warhawks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the UL Monroe Warhawks have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
As the betting favorite, the Texas State Bobcats have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Texas State posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.