New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Matchup

Check out our free New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies pick and preview for this CFB week 5 game in Las Cruces. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 5 CFB matchup.

Even though the New Mexico Lobos are 0-4 this season, they are the -9.5-point favorite on the road as they head into Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces to take on the New Mexico State Aggies. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET on Saturday, September 28th, with ESPN+ handling the broadcast. The over/under line is at 58.5 points for this week five college football matchup.

Lobos vs. Aggies Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies
Where: Las Cruces at Aggie Memorial Stadium
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Betting Odds NMX -9.5, NMX -339 | NMXST +267 O/U 58.5

Lobos Preview:

New Mexico is still searching for their first win of the season after falling to 0-4. In their most recent game, the Lobos faced Fresno State and were defeated 38-21 at home. New Mexico was +12 point underdogs but ended up losing by 17 points, resulting in both a straight-up and ATS loss. The over/under line was set at 61 points, but the game ended with a combined 59 points.

The Lobos trailed 8-3 after the first quarter and then fell further behind, with Fresno State leading 25-10 at halftime. New Mexico managed to score just 3 points in the third quarter, and despite outscoring Fresno State 11-10 in the fourth, they couldn't overcome the deficit.

Lobos Offense Breakdown

In their 38-21 loss to Fresno State, New Mexico's offense put up 485 yards, with 338 of those coming through the air. Devon Dampier completed 62.3% of his passes, throwing for 338 yards and one touchdown, but he also had two interceptions and a passer rating of 71.11. Luke Wysong was his top target, hauling in 10 receptions for 126 yards.

The Lobos' ground game produced 147 yards on 28 carries, with Dampier contributing 67 yards on nine rushes.

Lobos Team Defense

New Mexico's defense will be looking to tighten up after giving up 346 total yards in their last game. They struggled to stop the run, allowing 94 yards on 32 carries, and gave up two rushing touchdowns. In the passing game, the Lobos allowed 252 yards and two more scores, with Fresno State completing 27 of 34 pass attempts against them.

Aggies Preview:

Aggies Offense Breakdown

New Mexico State's offense struggled in their 31-11 loss, finishing with just 152 total yards. The Aggies managed only 78 yards on the ground and 74 yards through the air, with 14 completions on 29 pass attempts. Quarterback Santino Marucci threw for 74 yards, completing 48.3% of his passes and ending the game with a passer rating of 37.57. He also threw one touchdown and two interceptions.

On the ground, Seth McGowan led the team with 50 yards on 12 carries. In the passing game, TJ Pride was the top receiver, with five receptions for 33 yards.

Aggies Team Defense

New Mexico State's defense is looking to bounce back after giving up 284 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Sam Houston. Overall, they allowed 386 total yards and 31 points. The Aggies' secondary was a bright spot, picking off two passes and holding Sam Houston to just 102 passing yards on 12 completions.

Lobos vs Aggies Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the New Mexico Lobos offense has averaged 19 points per game while allowing an average of 36. New Mexico posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 4-6 ATS.
In their last five games at home, the New Mexico State Aggies have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the New Mexico State Aggies have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.