Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen Matchup

Check out our free Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Amherst. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 will be covering the week seven matchup between the Missouri Tigers and UMass Minutemen, set to kick off at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th, at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst. Missouri enters the game with a 4-1 record, while UMass has struggled to a 1-5 start. The Tigers are heavy -27.5-point favorites on the road, and the over/under line is currently at 53.5 points.

Tigers vs. Minutemen Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Missouri Tigers at UMass Minutemen
Where: Amherst at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds MISSR -27.5, MISSR -4896 | UMASS +1655 O/U 53.5

Tigers Preview:

Missouri enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 22nd in our power rankings. They have a 97.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.3% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Tigers are 2-0 at home and 0-1 on the road this season.

Missouri’s ATS record stands at 1-2, and they’ve been favored in two of their five games. Their average scoring margin is +13.4 points per game, and they are 1-1 against the spread as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is 53.5 points, higher than any of Missouri’s previous games. Their average O/U line has been 50.8 points, with their over/under record at 1-2 and an average combined score of 49 points per game.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, placing them 40th nationally, and they are ranked 59th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their passing game is a focal point, ranking 20th in completions and 27th in attempts, with a 66.5% completion rate, which is 25th in the country. They are converting 50.6% of their third downs, ranking 15th nationally, and are averaging 182.4 rushing yards per game.

Brady Cook leads Missouri’s passing attack with 1,132 yards and a passer rating of 91. He has thrown five touchdowns and one interception, completing 63.6% of his passes. Nate Noel leads the rushing game with 471 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 28 catches for 359 yards and one touchdown.

Tigers Team Defense

Missouri's defense, ranked 19th nationally, is allowing 17.8 points per game this season. They’ve given up 157 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th in the country, and 121 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Texas A&M, Missouri allowed 41 points and 512 total yards, including 236 rushing yards and 276 passing yards, though they didn’t give up a passing touchdown.

Minutemen Preview:

Minutemen Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, UMass ranks 94th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.2 points per game. Quarterback Taisun Phommachanh has thrown for 1,280 yards, with the team ranking 28th in passing attempts nationally. UMass is 54th in passing yards per game, averaging 213.3 yards.

Phommachanh has seven touchdown passes and three interceptions, with a passer rating of 85. UMass ranks 89th in passer rating and 73rd in third-down conversions, converting 38.5% of their attempts. Leading receiver Jakobie Keeney-James has 493 yards and three touchdowns.

Minutemen Team Defense

UMass's defense has struggled this season, allowing 31.3 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up 34 points, including 368 rushing yards on 52 carries. The defense also allowed 23 first downs but limited Northern Illinois to just 35 passing yards on 10 attempts, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 165.2 rushing yards per game against UMass, while the Minutemen rank 24th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up just 162.3 yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 54.5% of their passes against UMass, which ranks 21st in the country.

Tigers vs Minutemen Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last three road contests, Missouri has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 24 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the UMass Minutemen offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 30. UMass posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-1-1 ATS.
Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the UMass Minutemen have gone 3-1-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Missouri Tigers have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.