Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers Matchup

Check out our free Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Knoxville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

ESPN will be covering the 7:00 ET kickoff between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs this Saturday, November 9th. The game will be played at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville. Tennessee is the heavy favorite with a -23.5 point spread, and the over/under line is currently set at 61 points. The Volunteers are 7-1 on the season, while Mississippi State comes in at 2-7.

Bulldogs vs. Volunteers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers
Where: Knoxville at Neyland Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds TENN -23.5, MSPST +1119 | TENN -2574 O/U 61

Bulldogs Preview:

Mississippi State heads into Week 11 against Tennessee with a 2-7 record, and they’re ranked 69th in our power rankings. They have no chance of reaching bowl eligibility this season. On the road, they’ve gone 0-3, while their home record stands at 1-4.

The Bulldogs’ ATS record is 4-4, with a -5.4 average scoring margin. They’ve covered the spread in two of their three road games and have been favored in just two of their nine matchups this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 61 points. Mississippi State’s games have averaged 63.7 points, and their over/under record is 6-2. The average line for their games has been 56.8 points.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 29.1 points per game, placing them 50th in the nation as they head into week 11. They are ranked 54th in our offensive power rankings. The Bulldogs have focused on their passing game, ranking 26th with 255.2 yards per game, and they are 38th in passing attempts.

Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the team with 1,323 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. He has a passer rating of 89. Kevin Coleman Jr. has caught 57 passes for 688 yards and five touchdowns. On the ground, Mississippi State averages 144.8 rushing yards per game.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Mississippi State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.6 points per game. They rank 133rd in the nation against the pass, giving up 250 yards per game and a passer rating of 102.8. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 71.1% of their passes against the Bulldogs.

In their recent game against UMass, Mississippi State allowed 20 points and 335 total yards. UMass ran the ball 49 times for 199 yards, while the Bulldogs' secondary gave up 136 passing yards but also recorded an interception.

Volunteers Preview:

This week’s over/under line is set at 61 points. Mississippi State’s games have averaged 63.7 points, and their over/under record is 6-2. The average line for their games has been 56.8 points.

Volunteers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, Tennessee's offense is averaging 38.1 points per game, placing them 12th in the nation. They are also 12th in rushing, with 237.1 yards per game on 44.6 attempts. Dylan Sampson has rushed for 980 yards and 19 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tennessee is ranked 42nd in our offensive power rankings.

Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,705 yards, completing 65.4% of his passes. He has nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Tennessee ranks 69th in passing yards per game. Dont'e Thornton Jr. leads the team with 401 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Volunteers Team Defense

Tennessee's defense has been a standout unit this season, ranking 5th nationally by allowing just 12.4 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 99.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 73.1 and are averaging 181.5 passing yards per game against Tennessee’s secondary.

In their recent game against Kentucky, Tennessee’s defense allowed 18 points but also forced two interceptions. They gave up 366 total yards, including 174 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 192 passing yards, while allowing two passing touchdowns.

Bulldogs vs Volunteers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Mississippi State has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 17 points per game.
In their last ten games at home, the Tennessee Volunteers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 30 points per game in this stretch.
As the betting underdog, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Mississippi State posted a straight up mark of 0-10 in these matchups.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Tennessee Volunteers have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.