Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Matchup

Check out our free Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Oxford. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

The over/under is sitting at 61.5 points as the Ole Miss Rebels host the Mississippi State Bulldogs at 3:30 ET from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. Ole Miss is favored by -26.5 points as they look to add another win to their 8-3 record this season. The game will be broadcast on ABC, and the money line odds have Ole Miss at -4271 and Mississippi State at +1363.

Bulldogs vs. Rebels Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels
Where: Oxford at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Date: Friday, November 29th
Betting Odds MISS -26.5, MSPST +1363 | MISS -4271 O/U 61.5

Bulldogs Preview:

Mississippi State heads into Week 14 with a 2-9 record, ranked 70th in our power rankings. They are already out of bowl eligibility. On the road, they are 0-4, and at home, they’ve gone 1-5 this season.

Their ATS record is 5-5, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 2-4 at home. They’ve been favored in just two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 4-4 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than their average line of 57.4. Mississippi State’s over/under record is 7-3, with their games averaging 61.7 points per contest.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State’s offense ranks 61st in scoring, averaging 26.9 points per game, and they are 55th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their passing game is 55th nationally, with 234.5 yards per game, and they average 30.4 pass attempts per game. They convert 37.9% of their third downs, which ranks 84th.

Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the passing attack with 1,606 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Davon Booth has 721 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 814 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 68 receptions.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Mississippi State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.8 points per game, ranking them 92nd nationally. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 39 points and 475 total yards, including 207 rushing yards on 53 attempts and 268 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 216.1 rushing yards per game against Mississippi State, while quarterbacks have posted a 107.9 passer rating, completing 70.6% of their throws for an average of 248.2 yards per game.

Rebels Preview:

Their ATS record is 5-5, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 2-4 at home. They’ve been favored in just two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 4-4 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than their average line of 57.4. Mississippi State’s over/under record is 7-3, with their games averaging 61.7 points per contest.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss heads into week 14 ranked 8th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 38.5 points per game, which is 9th in the nation. Their passing game leads the country, averaging 361.8 yards per game, and they are 21st in completions, with 23 per game. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 3,732 yards, completing 69.3% of his passes, and has 24 touchdowns to 6 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 121.

Ole Miss ranks 4th nationally in passer rating and 12th in completion percentage. On the ground, they average 171.5 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. leads the rushing attack with 678 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tre Harris has 1,030 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 60 receptions.

Rebels Team Defense

Ole Miss's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 13.9 points per game. They also rank 6th in the country in rushing defense, giving up only 90 yards per game on average.

In their recent game against Florida, the defense allowed 24 points, giving up 345 total yards, including 165 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 180 passing yards. They also forced one interception in the game.

Bulldogs vs Rebels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Mississippi State has a 0-5 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 38. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
In their last five home games, Ole Miss has averaged 34 points per game while allowing 18. The team's record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-5.
Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Ole Miss Rebels have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.