Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers Matchup

Check out our free Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Starkville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

SECN will be covering the week 13 matchup between the Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs, set for 4:15 ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. Missouri is favored at -7.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 57.5 points. The Tigers enter the game with a 7-3 record, while the Bulldogs are just 2-8 on the season.

Tigers vs. Bulldogs Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Where: Starkville at Davis Wade Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds MISSR -7.5, MISSR -305 | MSPST +244 O/U 57.5

Tigers Preview:

Missouri comes into Week 13 with a 7-3 record, but they have no chance of winning the Southeastern according to projections. However, they are 100% bowl-eligible. The Tigers are ranked 24th in our power rankings and are 4-0 at home this season, but just 1-3 on the road.

Missouri has been favored in four of their ten games this season, going 4-0 in those matchups. They have a +8.2 average scoring margin and a 5-3 record against the spread, covering three of four games as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is 57.5 points, higher than any other line for Missouri games this season. Their over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 49.1 points and an average combined score of 48.2 points per game.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, Missouri’s offense ranks 49th in points per game, averaging 28.2. They are 52nd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is strong, at 45.6%, placing them 23rd nationally. Missouri is 26th in rushing attempts, averaging 167.1 yards per game on the ground.

Brady Cook leads the passing attack with 1,812 yards and a 63.5% completion rate. He has thrown eight touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 92. Nate Noel leads the rushing game with 684 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 637 receiving yards on 47 catches.

Tigers Team Defense

Missouri's defense, ranked 23rd nationally, is allowing 20 points per game this season. They’ve given up 131.3 rushing yards per game and 180.6 passing yards, ranking 29th in the country against the pass.

In their recent game against South Carolina, Missouri’s defense allowed 34 points, including 353 passing yards and five touchdowns, though they did limit the Gamecocks to 110 rushing yards and forced one interception.

Bulldogs Preview:

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 27.6 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 53rd nationally. They are ranked 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game ranks 53rd, with 238.9 yards per game, and they are 45th in passing attempts.

Michael Van Buren Jr. has thrown for 1,415 yards, with nine touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 82. On the ground, Davon Booth has rushed for 597 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry. Kevin Coleman Jr. leads the receivers with 756 yards and five touchdowns.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Mississippi State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.4 points per game. In their recent 33-14 loss to Tennessee, they gave up 33 points, allowing 323 total yards, including 156 rushing yards and 167 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 217 rushing yards per game against Mississippi State, and quarterbacks have completed 70.2% of their passes, averaging 246.2 passing yards per game.

Tigers vs Bulldogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Missouri has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 25 points per game while allowing 23. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
In their last five home games, Mississippi State has averaged 18 points per game while allowing 38. The team's record in this stretch was 0-5 while going 3-2.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have a straight up record of 0-10. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Missouri Tigers have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.