Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Matchup

Check out our free New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Murfreesboro. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering this week 13 matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, set to kick off at 2:30 ET from Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro. Middle Tennessee is the -3.5 point favorite at home, with the over/under line currently at 50.5 points. The Aggies are 2-8 on the season, while the Blue Raiders are 3-7 overall.

Aggies vs. Blue Raiders Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: New Mexico State Aggies at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Where: Murfreesboro at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds MTNST -3.5, NMXST +151 | MTNST -180 O/U 50.5

Aggies Preview:

New Mexico State enters Week 13 with a 2-8 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 133rd in our power rankings as they face Middle Tennessee. The Aggies are 0-5 on the road and 0-3 at home this season.

Their average scoring margin is -18.4 points per game, and they have gone 3-5 against the spread. At home, they are 2-1 ATS, while on the road, they are 1-4.

Their over/under record is 5-2-1, with an average total of 56 points per game. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly below their season average of 50.9 points.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

New Mexico State’s offense has leaned heavily on their run game, ranking 18th in rushing attempts and averaging 182.1 yards per game on the ground. Seth McGowan leads the team with 711 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns this season. Overall, the Aggies are 90th in scoring, with 18.8 points per game, and they are ranked 130th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Santino Marucci has thrown for 519 yards, with three touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 48. New Mexico State ranks 128th in passing yards per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 36.1%. PJ Johnson III leads the team’s receivers with 256 yards and one touchdown.

Aggies Team Defense

New Mexico State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.2 points per game. In their recent matchup against Texas A&M, they gave up 38 points and 565 total yards, including 356 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 206.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico State, ranking them 147th nationally. Through the air, they’ve allowed 256.5 passing yards per game, despite holding quarterbacks to a 57.8% completion rate, which is the 43rd-lowest in the country.

Blue Raiders Preview:

Their average scoring margin is -18.4 points per game, and they have gone 3-5 against the spread. At home, they are 2-1 ATS, while on the road, they are 1-4.

Their over/under record is 5-2-1, with an average total of 56 points per game. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly below their season average of 50.9 points.

Blue Raiders Offense Breakdown

Middle Tennessee’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.2 points per game, placing them 125th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.3%, and they rank 126th in rushing, with only 81.4 yards per game on the ground.

Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,559 yards, leading the Blue Raiders’ passing attack, which ranks 26th in both attempts and completions per game. Vattiato has 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. Omari Kelly leads the receiving corps with 811 yards.

Blue Raiders Team Defense

Middle Tennessee's defense has struggled this season, allowing 34 points per game. In their recent game against Liberty, they gave up 37 points, including 311 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns. Liberty also recorded 27 first downs in the game.

Opponents have averaged 209.3 rushing yards per game against Middle Tennessee, while quarterbacks have posted a 104.8 passer rating and 247 passing yards per game. The defense has faced 37.8 rushing attempts and 29.8 passes per game this season.

Aggies vs Blue Raiders Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road games, New Mexico State has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 8 points per game.
Through their last three home games, Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 20 points per game.
Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the New Mexico State Aggies have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
Against the spread, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.