Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern Wildcats Matchup

Check out our free Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Ann Arbor. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor is the setting for this week 13 matchup between the Northwestern Wildcats and Michigan Wolverines, with kickoff set for 3:30 ET. The Wolverines are favored by -11.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 37.5 points. The game will be broadcast on FS1 as Michigan looks to improve on their 5-5 record, while Northwestern enters the game with a 4-6 record.

Wildcats vs. Wolverines Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan Wolverines
Where: Ann Arbor at Michigan Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds MICH -11.5, NW +394 | MICH -541 O/U 37.5

Wildcats Preview:

Northwestern enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing Michigan. They rank 77th in our CFB power rankings and have a 7.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 1-3, while their road record stands at 1-2 this season.

So far, Northwestern has been favored in just one game this season, and they have a -4.8 average scoring margin. Their ATS record is 3-4, with a 2-2 mark at home and 1-2 on the road.

The over/under line for this week is 37.5 points, the lowest they’ve seen this season. Northwestern’s games have averaged 40.8 points, and their average over/under line has been 41.6 points.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, Northwestern’s offense ranks 114th in our power rankings, with an average of 18 points per game. Their third-down conversion rate is just 30.6%, and they are 115th in both passing and rushing yards per game.

Quarterback Jack Lausch has thrown for 1,321 yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 71. Cam Porter leads the rushing attack with 424 yards and six touchdowns, while Bryce Kirtz has 506 receiving yards.

Wildcats Team Defense

Northwestern’s defense, ranked 40th nationally, is allowing 22.8 points per game this season. In their recent game against Ohio State, they gave up 31 points, allowing 420 total yards, including 247 passing yards and two touchdowns.

Opponents are averaging 241.6 passing yards per game against Northwestern, completing 62.2% of their passes. On the ground, Northwestern’s defense is ranked 33rd, giving up just 115.9 rushing yards per game on 31.4 attempts, which is the 28th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.

Wolverines Preview:

So far, Northwestern has been favored in just one game this season, and they have a -4.8 average scoring margin. Their ATS record is 3-4, with a 2-2 mark at home and 1-2 on the road.

The over/under line for this week is 37.5 points, the lowest they’ve seen this season. Northwestern’s games have averaged 40.8 points, and their average over/under line has been 41.6 points.

Wolverines Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.4 points per game, which ranks 86th in the nation. They are also 87th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 125th in passing yards per game, and they are 82nd in both passing attempts and completions per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 39.2%, and their passer rating is 73.

Davis Warren leads the team with 869 passing yards and has a passer rating of 72. He has thrown five touchdowns and six interceptions. On the ground, Michigan is averaging 156.2 rushing yards per game. Kalel Mullings has rushed for 740 yards, scoring eight touchdowns and averaging 5 yards per carry.

Wolverines Team Defense

Michigan's defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 14th nationally by allowing just 103 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Indiana, they gave up only 44 rushing yards on 26 attempts. However, they allowed 206 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air, despite forcing one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 62.7% of their passes against Michigan, averaging a passer rating of 91.7. Michigan’s defense is ranked 105th in the nation, allowing 232.8 passing yards per game. They are currently ranked 42nd in the country, giving up 23 points per game.

Wildcats vs Wolverines Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three road games, Northwestern has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 23. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
Through their last three home games, Michigan has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 13 points per game.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Northwestern Wildcats have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Michigan Wolverines have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.