Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans Matchup

Check out our free Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines pick and preview for this CFB week 9 game in Ann Arbor. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 9 CFB matchup.

Michigan is favored by -5.5 points as they host Michigan State at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor. The game is set for 7:30 ET, and you can catch it on BTN. Both teams come in with a 4-3 record this season. The over/under line is currently at 40.5 points for this week nine Big Ten matchup.

Spartans vs. Wolverines Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines
Where: Ann Arbor at Michigan Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 26th
Betting Odds MICH -5.5, MST +173 | MICH -214 O/U 40.5

Spartans Preview:

Michigan State enters their Week 9 matchup against Michigan with a 4-3 record, but they have a 0.0% chance of winning the Big Ten according to projections. However, they have a 78.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Spartans are 2-1 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Michigan State is 4-2, and they’ve covered in all three road games. They’ve been favored just once this season, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 4-1 ATS as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +0.7 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 40.5 points. Michigan State’s games have averaged 42.4 points, with an average over/under line of 45.7 points. Their over/under record is 2-4, with five games featuring higher lines than this week’s total.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Michigan State’s offense ranks 85th in scoring, averaging 21.6 points per game, and they are 66th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,468 yards, but he has just six touchdowns compared to ten interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 72.

Overall, Michigan State is 62nd in passing yards per game, with 233.4, and they are 49th in third-down conversions, converting 40.7% of their attempts. Kay'ron Lynch-Adams leads the rushing attack with 424 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Marsh has 433 receiving yards on 24 catches.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State's defense has been solid this season, ranking 33rd nationally by allowing just 20.9 points per game. In their recent win over Iowa, they gave up 20 points, while also forcing an interception. The Spartans allowed 283 total yards, including 150 passing yards and 133 rushing yards.

Opponents are averaging 192 passing yards per game against Michigan State, completing 59.5% of their throws. The Spartans have faced an average of 34 rushing attempts per game, giving up 133.4 rushing yards per contest.

Wolverines Preview:

Wolverines Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.1 points per game, which ranks 87th nationally. They are 86th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 122nd in passing yards per game with 128.3. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown six interceptions with only two touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 57.

Warren has 444 passing yards and a 66.7% completion rate. Michigan ranks 30th in rushing attempts per game and averages 181.1 rushing yards per game. Kalel Mullings leads the ground attack with 676 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Semaj Morgan has 106 receiving yards on 17 catches.

Wolverines Team Defense

Michigan's defense allowed 21 points in their recent 21-7 loss to Illinois, giving up 267 total yards. They held Illinois to 80 passing yards but allowed 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts.

So far this season, Michigan's defense is ranked 11th in the nation against the run, allowing just 92.1 rushing yards per game. However, they rank 112th in passing yards allowed, giving up 234.1 yards per game through the air.

Spartans vs Wolverines Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Michigan State has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 16 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the Michigan Wolverines offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 16. Michigan posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
In their last three contests as the favorite, Michigan has a poor record vs the spread going 0-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.