Michigan State Spartans vs Oregon Ducks Matchup

Check out our free Michigan State Spartans vs Oregon Ducks pick and preview for this CFB week 6 game in Eugene. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 6 CFB matchup.

On Friday, October 4th, this week six college football matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and Oregon Ducks will be played at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, with a 9:00 ET kick-off. The game will be broadcast on FOX, and the Spartans come in with a 3-2 record, while the Ducks are 4-0. The current point spread has the Ducks as -24 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 52 points.

Spartans vs. Ducks Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Michigan State Spartans at Oregon Ducks
Where: Eugene at Autzen Stadium
Date: Friday, October 4th
Betting Odds ORE -24, MST +1140 | ORE -2737 O/U 52

Spartans Preview:

Michigan State enters Week 6 with a 3-2 record, facing Oregon on the road. They rank 65th in our power rankings and have a 45.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, the Spartans are 1-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

Their average scoring margin is +2.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread. Michigan State is 2-0 ATS on the road but 0-2 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game this season.

The over/under line for this week is 52 points. Michigan State’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 40.8 points. Their average over/under line has been 45.8 points.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.8 points per game, placing them 74th in the nation. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Quarterback Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,058 yards but has a passer rating of 65, with five touchdowns and nine interceptions.

The Spartans are 33rd in passing attempts, averaging 30.4 per game, and they convert 45.2% of their third downs. They are 76th in rushing, with 135.8 yards per game. Kay'ron Lynch-Adams leads the ground game with 306 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State's defense will be looking to bounce back after allowing 38 points in their recent 38-7 loss to Ohio State. The Spartans gave up 486 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.

Despite the rough outing, Michigan State's defense ranks 35th nationally, allowing 19 points per game. They are 44th in the country against the run, giving up 117.2 rushing yards per game, and 49th against the pass, allowing 186 yards per game.

Ducks Preview:

Their average scoring margin is +2.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread. Michigan State is 2-0 ATS on the road but 0-2 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game this season.

The over/under line for this week is 52 points. Michigan State’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 40.8 points. Their average over/under line has been 45.8 points.

Ducks Offense Breakdown

Oregon’s offense is 27th in points per game, scoring 36 per contest, and they are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Dillon Gabriel leads the passing game with 1,192 yards, and the Ducks are 1st in the nation in completion percentage at 81.3%. They are also 16th in completions, averaging 28.2 per game, and Gabriel has a passer rating of 122 with nine touchdowns and one interception.

Oregon is 38th in passing yards, averaging 301.8 per game, and they convert 49% of their third downs. On the ground, they average 155.2 rushing yards per game. Jordan James leads the rushing attack with 386 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Tez Johnson has 33 catches for 311 yards and four touchdowns.

Ducks Team Defense

Oregon's defense has been strong this season, ranking 21st in the nation by allowing just 18.8 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 115.2 rushing yards per game on 26.5 attempts, which is the 11th fewest attempts in the country. Through the air, Oregon’s defense is giving up just 154.8 passing yards per game, ranking 21st, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 54.2, the 10th lowest in college football.

In their latest game, a 34-13 win over UCLA, Oregon’s defense allowed just 13 points and 11 first downs. UCLA rushed 23 times but gained only 54 yards, while Oregon’s secondary gave up 125 passing yards and recorded two interceptions.

Spartans vs Ducks Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Michigan State has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
In their last three home games, the Oregon Ducks have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 38 points per game in these contests.
Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Michigan State Spartans have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
Against the spread, the Oregon Ducks have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 5-0 straight up.