LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Matchup

Check out our free Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

Coming in with a 5-1 record, the Ole Miss Rebels are on the road this week vs. the LSU Tigers. The game is set for 7:30 ET from Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge and will be broadcast on ABC. The Rebels are the -3.5-point favorite on the road. The over/under line is at 64.5 points. LSU enters this game with a 4-1 record.

Rebels vs. Tigers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers
Where: Baton Rouge at Tiger Stadium (LA)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds MISS -3.5, MISS -156 | LSU +128 O/U 64.5

Rebels Preview:

Ole Miss enters Week 7 against LSU with a 5-1 record, ranked 5th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 13.1% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Rebels hold the 8th best odds to make the playoff at 56.2%, and they are 5th in the nation with a 13.2% chance of reaching the national championship game.

The Rebels are 2-0 on the road and 2-1 at home this season. They’ve been favored in five of their six games, going 4-1 as the favorite. Ole Miss has a +36.5 average scoring margin and a 4-1 record against the spread, covering twice on the road and twice at home.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points. Ole Miss games have averaged 51.5 points, with an average line of 60.2 points. Their over/under record is 0-5, with two games having higher lines than this week’s total.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss enters week 7 with the 9th highest scoring offense in college football, averaging 44 points per game. They are also ranked 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is a major strength, as they are 2nd in the nation with 372.8 passing yards per game and 9th in passing completions, averaging 22.8 per game.

Jaxson Dart leads the Rebels' offense with 2,100 passing yards and a passer rating of 134. He has completed 73.4% of his passes, throwing 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions. On the ground, Ole Miss averages 204.7 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. has rushed for 570 yards, scoring nine touchdowns and averaging 6 yards per carry. Tre Harris leads the receiving corps with 885 yards and five touchdowns on 52 catches.

Rebels Team Defense

Ole Miss's defense has been impressive this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 7.5 points per game. They also rank fourth in rushing yards allowed, giving up only 67.8 yards per game on the ground.

In their recent game against South Carolina, Ole Miss allowed just 3 points, giving up 313 total yards. South Carolina ran the ball 43 times for 151 yards, while Ole Miss’s secondary allowed 162 passing yards and forced one interception.

Tigers Preview:

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, LSU’s offense is ranked 26th in points per game, scoring 35.2. However, they are 8th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 12th in passing yards per game with 337.8, and they are 6th in completions, averaging 28.6 per game. They also convert 51.7% of their third downs, ranking 9th nationally.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 1,656 yards with a 69.8% completion rate, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. LSU’s rushing game is less effective, averaging 130.8 yards per game. Caden Durham leads the team with 244 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU’s defense is currently ranked 33rd in the nation, allowing 21.6 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 236 passing yards per game, ranking 109th, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 94.8 passer rating and completing 66.1% of their throws. Against the run, LSU has allowed 124.4 yards per game, ranking 52nd, on 30.6 rushing attempts per game, which is the 27th fewest in the country.

In their recent game, LSU’s defense gave up just 10 points but allowed 453 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced one interception and held South Alabama to 161 rushing yards on 33 attempts.

Rebels vs Tigers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Ole Miss has an ATS record of just 5-3-2. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 27 points per game.
Through their last three home games, LSU has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 28 points per game.
Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, LSU has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Ole Miss has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.