Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Check out our free Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs pick and preview for this CFB week 5 game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 5 CFB matchup.

SMU is the -5.5 point favorite as they host the Florida State Seminoles at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and the game can be seen on ACCN. The over/under line is currently at 47.5 points. The Seminoles are looking to bounce back after a tough start to the season, while SMU comes in with a 3-1 record.

Seminoles vs. Mustangs Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Florida State Seminoles at SMU Mustangs
Where: Dallas at Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Betting Odds SMU -5.5, FLST +180 | SMU -219 O/U 47.5

Seminoles Preview:

Florida State is looking to build on their 1-3 record after a 14-9 win over California. The Seminoles were -3 point favorites and managed to cover the spread, and the game's total score of 23 points was under the 44.5-point over/under line.

Florida State took a 7-0 lead in the first quarter, but California closed the gap to 7-6 by halftime. The Seminoles added a field goal in the third quarter and held on for the win, with a touchdown in the fourth quarter to secure the win. This was their first win of the season after starting 0-3.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State's offense put up 309 yards of total offense in their 14-9 win over California, with 132 yards coming on the ground. DJ Uiagalelei completed 59.3% of his passes for 177 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, ending the game with a passer rating of 75.69. Ja'Khi Douglas was his top target, catching four passes for 86 yards.

Lawrance Toafili led the Seminoles' ground game, rushing 17 times for 80 yards and one touchdown.

Seminoles Team Defense

Florida State's defense had a tough time against California, giving up 410 total yards. The Seminoles were particularly vulnerable in the passing game, allowing 303 yards through the air on 22 completions. Despite these struggles, they managed to hold California to just 14 points and came up with one interception. On the ground, Florida State's defense was more effective, limiting California to 107 rushing yards.

Mustangs Preview:

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU's offense was explosive in their 66-42 win, racking up 376 total yards and 23 first downs. The Mustangs' ground game was particularly strong, with 239 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Brashard Smith led the way, averaging 7.1 yards per carry, and scoring three rushing touchdowns.

Kevin Jennings completed 73.7% of his passes for 137 yards, throwing two touchdowns and no interceptions. Romello Brinson was the top receiver, with one catch for 51 yards.

Mustangs Team Defense

SMU's defense will be looking to tighten up after giving up 480 total yards and 66 points to TCU in their last game. The Mustangs allowed 415 passing yards on 31 completions, but they did come up with two interceptions. On the ground, SMU's defense was more effective, holding TCU to just 65 rushing yards on 32 attempts. However, the Mustangs did give up four passing touchdowns in the game.

Seminoles vs Mustangs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Florida State has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 30 points per game.
Through their last ten home games, SMU has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 28 points per game.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Florida State Seminoles have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the SMU Mustangs have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.