Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Matchup

Check out our free North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Boca Raton. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

North Texas comes into this one with a 4-1 record, while Florida Atlantic is 2-3 on the season. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, and ESPN2 will be handling the broadcast. The over/under line is at 59.5 points, and North Texas is the -7-point favorite on the road. The current money line odds are -260 for North Texas and +209 for Florida Atlantic.

Mean Green vs. Owls Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: North Texas Mean Green at Florida Atlantic Owls
Where: Boca Raton at FAU Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds NTX -7, NTX -260 | FLATL +209 O/U 59.5

Mean Green Preview:

North Texas enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 90th in our power rankings. They have a 93% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 0.9% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. The Mean Green are 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

Against the spread, North Texas is 3-1, with a perfect 2-0 record as the favorite. They’ve covered both home games and have an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game.

The over/under record for North Texas games is 4-0, with their games averaging 73 points. Their average over/under line is 63.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 59.5 points.

Mean Green Offense Breakdown

North Texas has leaned heavily on their passing game, ranking 8th in the nation with 348.6 yards per game. They are 13th in passing completions, averaging 25.6 per game, and they are also 13th in scoring, putting up 40.8 points per game. Quarterback Chandler Morris has thrown for 1,643 yards and 16 touchdowns, though he has also been picked off six times.

North Texas is 53rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Morris has a passer rating of 108, and the team ranks 28th in passer rating nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 34.4%, placing them 93rd. On the ground, they average 167.6 rushing yards per game. Damashja Harris leads the team with 193 rushing yards, averaging 8 yards per carry.

Mean Green Team Defense

North Texas' defense allowed just 20 points in their recent win against Tulsa, giving up 268 total yards. They held Tulsa to 109 passing yards and forced 42 rushing attempts, allowing 159 yards on the ground.

On the season, North Texas ranks 141st in passing yards allowed, giving up 265.6 yards per game. They’ve allowed 150 rushing yards per game and rank 26th in the nation in completion percentage allowed at 54.8%.

Owls Preview:

Against the spread, North Texas is 3-1, with a perfect 2-0 record as the favorite. They’ve covered both home games and have an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game.

The over/under record for North Texas games is 4-0, with their games averaging 73 points. Their average over/under line is 63.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 59.5 points.

Owls Offense Breakdown

Florida Atlantic’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 117th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 22 points per game, placing them 77th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 25.4%, and their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 117th in passing yards per game. They also have the lowest passer rating in the country.

Cam Fancher has thrown for 707 yards, with two touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 65. CJ Campbell Jr. leads the rushing attack with 308 yards and five touchdowns, as the team averages 182.2 rushing yards per game. Omari Hayes has 282 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Owls Team Defense

Florida Atlantic's defense enters this week ranked 9th in the nation, allowing just 134.4 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 45.6% of their passes against the Owls, the 3rd-lowest rate in the country. In their last game, FAU's defense gave up just 10 points and 133 total yards, including 21 rushing yards on 25 attempts.

While the pass defense has been strong, FAU has struggled against the run, allowing 225.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 166th nationally. Opponents have averaged 41 rushing attempts per game against the Owls, the 82nd-most in college football.

Mean Green vs Owls Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, North Texas has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 31 points per game.
In their last three games at home, the Florida Atlantic Owls have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 15 points per game in these contests.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Florida Atlantic Owls have gone 1-1-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the North Texas Mean Green have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.