East Carolina Pirates vs North Texas Mean Green Matchup

Check out our free East Carolina Pirates vs North Texas Mean Green pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Denton. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the East Carolina Pirates and North Texas Mean Green as they take the field at DATCU Stadium in Denton. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the over/under line is at 73.5 points. The North Texas Mean Green are the -3.5 point favorites at home. The Pirates come in with a 6-4 record, while the Mean Green are 5-5 on the season.

Pirates vs. Mean Green Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: East Carolina Pirates at North Texas Mean Green
Where: Denton at DATCU Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds NTX -3.5, ECAR +130 | NTX -156 O/U 73.5

Pirates Preview:

East Carolina enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, ranked 92nd in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but no shot at winning the American Athletic Conference. The Pirates are 3-1 at home and 2-3 on the road this season.

East Carolina's ATS record stands at 5-4, with a +5.8 average scoring margin. They are 3-1 against the spread at home and 2-3 on the road, going 3-2 as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog.

This week's over/under line is 73.5 points, the highest they've faced this season. East Carolina's over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 60.2 points and an average line of 54.7 points.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

East Carolina’s offense is averaging 33 points per game heading into week 13, ranking 27th nationally. They are 23rd in passing yards, with 276.8 yards per game, and they are 28th in passing attempts, averaging 33.9 per game. Overall, they are 101st in our offensive power rankings.

Quarterback Jake Garcia has thrown for 1,426 yards, completing 60.2% of his passes, with eight touchdowns and 12 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 72. Rahjai Harris leads the rushing attack with 730 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Chase Sowell has 678 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Pirates Team Defense

East Carolina's defense has allowed an average of 27.2 points per game this season, including 31 points in their recent matchup against Tulsa. They gave up 399 total yards in that game, with 293 yards coming through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.

Opponents have averaged 239.8 passing yards per game against East Carolina, completing 58.1% of their passes. On the ground, East Carolina has faced 40.7 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 156.5 rushing yards per contest.

Mean Green Preview:

East Carolina's ATS record stands at 5-4, with a +5.8 average scoring margin. They are 3-1 against the spread at home and 2-3 on the road, going 3-2 as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog.

This week's over/under line is 73.5 points, the highest they've faced this season. East Carolina's over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 60.2 points and an average line of 54.7 points.

Mean Green Offense Breakdown

North Texas has been one of the top passing teams in college football, ranking 5th in passing yards per game with 342.8. They are 4th in both passing attempts and completions per game. Overall, they are 15th in scoring, averaging 35.6 points per game, and we have them ranked 54th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Chandler Morris has thrown for 3,328 yards this season, completing 63.9% of his passes. He has 27 touchdown passes but has also thrown 12 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 97. DT Sheffield leads the team with 734 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. On the ground, North Texas averages 160.3 rushing yards per game.

Mean Green Team Defense

North Texas’ defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 35.7 points per game. In their recent game against UTSA, they gave up 48 points, allowing 682 total yards, including 303 rushing yards and 379 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 203.8 rushing yards per game against North Texas, and 256.7 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 60.5% of their passes, with a passer rating of 91.1 against the Mean Green defense.

Pirates vs Mean Green Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the East Carolina Pirates last five road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 36. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
In their last three games at home, the North Texas Mean Green have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 37 points per game in this stretch.
In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the East Carolina Pirates have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
The North Texas Mean Green have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.