Duke Blue Devils vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Check out our free SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils pick and preview for this CFB week 9 game in Durham. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 9 CFB matchup.

SMU Mustangs and Duke Blue Devils are both 6-1 so far this season, and they are set to face off on Saturday, October 26th, with a kick-off time of 8:00 ET. The game will be played at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham and broadcast on ACCN. SMU is the heavy favorite at -11 points, and the over/under line is currently 48.5 points.

Mustangs vs. Blue Devils Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: SMU Mustangs at Duke Blue Devils
Where: Durham at Wallace Wade Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 26th
Betting Odds SMU -11, SMU -422 | DUKE +326 O/U 48.5

Mustangs Preview:

SMU heads into Week 9 with a 6-1 record, facing Duke on the road. They are 3-0 away from home this season. The Mustangs are ranked 16th in our CFB power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They also have a 23.5% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast and hold the 17th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 32.3%.

SMU’s average scoring margin this season is +20.1 points per game, and they are 4-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in four games and are 2-2 ATS as the favorite, while they are 2-0 ATS as the underdog.

Their over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 61.3 points. The average over/under line for their matchups is 54.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU’s offense is averaging 40.7 points per game, ranking 11th in the nation heading into week 9. They are 21st in rushing, with 208.6 yards per game on 39.6 attempts. Brashard Smith leads the ground attack with 625 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored seven touchdowns.

Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,336 yards, completing 66% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. His passer rating is 109. SMU ranks 21st in third-down conversions, with a 45.7% success rate. Jake Bailey leads the receivers with 260 yards and one touchdown.

Mustangs Team Defense

SMU's defense has been strong this season, ranking 9th nationally in rushing yards allowed at just 89.1 yards per game. In their recent game against Stanford, they allowed only 33 rushing yards on 35 attempts. The defense also forced two interceptions and gave up just 10 points in the 40-10 win.

Opponents have averaged a 52% completion rate against SMU, which ranks 10th in the country. The defense is 31st in points allowed, giving up 20.6 points per game, and they have allowed 230.6 passing yards per game.

Blue Devils Preview:

Their over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 61.3 points. The average over/under line for their matchups is 54.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.

Blue Devils Offense Breakdown

Duke’s offense has been underwhelming this season, averaging just 25.9 points per game, placing them 66th nationally. They are ranked 104th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their third-down conversion rate is a mere 26.8%, which ranks 107th.

Quarterback Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,501 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89. Duke is 34th in passing attempts, averaging 33.3 per game, and they are 75th in passing yards, with 215.4 yards per game. Star Thomas leads the rushing attack with 616 yards, and Duke is 100th in rushing yards, averaging 116.3 yards per game.

Blue Devils Team Defense

Duke's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 17.3 points per game. In their recent win over Florida State, they gave up only 16 points and forced two interceptions. The defense held Florida State to 129 passing yards and 162 rushing yards on 40 carries.

Opponents are averaging 153.6 passing yards per game against Duke, the 11th-lowest mark in the country, with a passer rating of 67.2, which ranks 14th nationally. On the ground, Duke is allowing 153.4 rushing yards per game on 39.7 attempts per contest.

Mustangs vs Blue Devils Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the SMU Mustangs offense has averaged 32 points per game while allowing an average of 20. SMU posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 5-5 ATS.
When looking at their past three matchups at home, Duke has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
As the betting underdog, the Duke Blue Devils have an ATS record of 2-0-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the SMU Mustangs have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.