Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles Matchup

Check out our free Florida State Seminoles vs Duke Blue Devils pick and preview for this CFB week 8 game in Durham. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 8 CFB matchup.

Duke enters this week eight matchup with a 5-1 record, while Florida State is looking to turn things around with just one win this season. The game is set for 7:00 ET at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham and will be broadcast on ESPN2. Duke is favored by -3.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points.

Seminoles vs. Blue Devils Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils
Where: Durham at Wallace Wade Stadium
Date: Friday, October 18th
Betting Odds DUKE -3.5, FLST +139 | DUKE -167 O/U 42.5

Seminoles Preview:

Florida State enters Week 8 against Duke with a 1-5 record and just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 67th in our power rankings and have gone 1-3 on the road and 0-2 at home this season.

The Seminoles have been favored in four of their six games but have only gone 1-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -10.5 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread, going 2-2 at home and 0-2 on the road.

Florida State’s over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 40.2 points. This week’s line is set at 42.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 49.8 points.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, which ranks them 95th in the nation. Our offensive power rankings place them 109th heading into week 8. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 28.9%, and their rushing attack is nearly nonexistent, averaging only 66.7 yards per game.

DJ Uiagalelei leads the Seminoles’ passing game with 1,065 yards, but he has thrown six interceptions compared to four touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 67. Florida State is 34th in passing attempts, averaging 33.5 per game. Ja'Khi Douglas has 306 receiving yards and two touchdowns this season.

Seminoles Team Defense

Florida State's defense struggled in their recent 29-13 loss to Clemson, giving up 29 points and allowing 571 total yards. Clemson ran the ball 40 times for 228 yards and threw for 343 yards, completing 33 of 43 passes and scoring four passing touchdowns.

On the season, Florida State's defense is allowing 25.3 points per game. Opponents are averaging 189.5 rushing yards per game and 219.3 passing yards. Quarterbacks have a 64% completion rate and a 105.3 passer rating against the Seminoles.

Blue Devils Preview:

Florida State’s over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 40.2 points. This week’s line is set at 42.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 49.8 points.

Blue Devils Offense Breakdown

Duke’s offense is ranked 98th in our power rankings heading into week 8, and they are averaging 26.3 points per game, which is 58th in the nation. Their third-down conversion rate is just 28.7%, placing them 107th nationally. On the ground, they are averaging 116.2 rushing yards per game.

Maalik Murphy leads Duke’s passing attack with 1,431 yards and 14 touchdowns, though he has thrown five interceptions. Duke ranks 26th in passing attempts per game, averaging 239.7 yards through the air. Murphy’s passer rating is 93. Jordan Moore has 443 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

Blue Devils Team Defense

Despite a rough outing against Georgia Tech, where Duke's defense allowed 371 rushing yards and five touchdowns, they still rank 17th nationally, giving up just 17.5 points per game. They also allowed 134 passing yards in the game, contributing to a total of 505 yards surrendered.

Opponents have averaged 152 rushing yards per game against Duke and 157.7 passing yards, the 16th-lowest figure in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 59.6% of their passes and hold a passer rating of 73.6 when facing Duke’s defense.

Seminoles vs Blue Devils Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Florida State has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 28 points per game.
Across their ten previous home games, Duke has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 28 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Florida State Seminoles have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Florida State posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Over the team's last five games as the favorite, the Duke Blue Devils struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.