Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers Matchup

Check out our free West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Cincinnati. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

At 12:00 ET, this week 11 matchup between the West Virginia Mountaineers and Cincinnati Bearcats will be played at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati. The Bearcats are the -5-point favorites at home, with the over/under line set at 56.5 points. The game will be broadcast on FS1. Cincinnati enters the game with a 5-3 record, while West Virginia is 4-4 on the season.

Mountaineers vs. Bearcats Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: West Virginia Mountaineers at Cincinnati Bearcats
Where: Cincinnati at Nippert Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds CIN -5, WVIR +166 | CIN -201 O/U 56.5

Mountaineers Preview:

West Virginia enters Week 11 against Cincinnati with a 4-4 record, ranked 54th in our power rankings. They have a 57.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Mountaineers are 2-1 on the road but just 1-3 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in only two games, going 1-1 as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +0.4 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-1 ATS record on the road and 1-3 at home.

West Virginia’s over/under record stands at 4-3, with their games averaging 57.1 points. This week’s line is set at 56.5 points, just above their average line of 56 points.

Mountaineers Offense Breakdown

West Virginia’s offense has leaned on its rushing attack, ranking 31st nationally with 205.8 rushing yards per game. Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards, with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. West Virginia is 52nd in scoring, averaging 28.8 points per game, and they are converting 41.7% of their third downs.

Jahiem White leads the team with 508 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Hudson Clement is the top receiver with 383 yards and three touchdowns on 28 catches. West Virginia is 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Mountaineers Team Defense

West Virginia's defense has allowed an average of 28.4 points per game this season, ranking 63rd nationally. In their recent matchup against Arizona, they gave up 26 points but allowed just 14 first downs and five rushing yards on 25 attempts. Arizona did manage 256 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 125 rushing yards per game against West Virginia, while quarterbacks have posted a 110.7 passer rating, completing 62.6% of their throws. West Virginia’s secondary has given up 261 passing yards per game, ranking 142nd in the country.

Bearcats Preview:

West Virginia’s over/under record stands at 4-3, with their games averaging 57.1 points. This week’s line is set at 56.5 points, just above their average line of 56 points.

Bearcats Offense Breakdown

Cincinnati’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, averaging 29.1, but they are 10th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,108 yards, with a passer rating of 103, and has 15 touchdowns to four interceptions. Overall, Cincinnati is 34th in passing completions and 43rd in passing yards, averaging 266.6 yards per game.

The Bearcats are 21st in completion percentage, connecting on 65.8% of their passes, and they convert 44.6% of their third downs. Sorsby’s completion rate is 65.6%. Corey Kiner leads the rushing attack with 692 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but has only two touchdowns. Xzavier Henderson has 549 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 42 catches.

Bearcats Team Defense

Cincinnati's defense, ranked 22nd nationally, has allowed 21.1 points per game this season. In their recent matchup against Colorado, they gave up 34 points, surrendering 451 total yards, including 323 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 240.5 passing yards per game against Cincinnati, ranking them 124th in the nation. They’ve also allowed 162.9 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 34.5 rushing attempts per contest.

Mountaineers vs Bearcats Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the West Virginia Mountaineers last ten road games, the team averaged 30 points per game while allowing 31. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 6-4 straight-up.
Across their three previous home games, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 27 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the West Virginia Mountaineers have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.