Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets Matchup

Check out our free Toledo Rockets vs Buffalo Bulls pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Buffalo. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

At 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th, the Buffalo Bulls will host the Toledo Rockets at UB Stadium in Buffalo. The game will be broadcast on ESNU, and Toledo comes in with a 4-1 record, while Buffalo is 3-2. Toledo is favored at -9.5 points, with the over/under line set at 44 points for this week seven matchup. The money line odds are -353 for Toledo and +275 for Buffalo.

Rockets vs. Bulls Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Toledo Rockets at Buffalo Bulls
Where: Buffalo at UB Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds TOLEDO -9.5, TOLEDO -353 | BUF +275 O/U 44

Rockets Preview:

Toledo enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 75th in our power rankings. They have a 99.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 36.5% chance of winning the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets are 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

Toledo’s average scoring margin is +16.6 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in three of their five games, going 1-2 ATS as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 53.4 points. Toledo games average 55 points, and this week’s line is set at 44 points.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Toledo’s offense is averaging 35.8 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 23rd in the nation. Quarterback Tucker Gleason has thrown for 1,180 yards and 13 touchdowns, with four interceptions. He has a passer rating of 106, while the team ranks 26th in passer rating nationally.

Toledo ranks 33rd in third-down conversions, converting 45.6% of their attempts. They are 60th in passing yards per game, averaging 251.4 yards. Jerjuan Newton leads the receivers with 358 yards and five touchdowns. The Rockets are 101st in rushing, averaging 126.6 yards per game.

Rockets Team Defense

Toledo's defense has been strong against the run, ranking 13th nationally by allowing just 88 rushing yards per game. In their recent game, they held Miami (OH) to 54 rushing yards on 23 attempts. However, their pass defense has struggled, giving up 296 passing yards and ranking 133rd nationally, allowing 255.4 passing yards per game.

Despite these challenges, Toledo's defense is 25th in the nation, allowing 19.2 points per game. Against Miami (OH), they forced one interception and allowed two passing touchdowns. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 81.1 and a 62.4% completion rate against Toledo’s defense.

Bulls Preview:

Toledo’s average scoring margin is +16.6 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in three of their five games, going 1-2 ATS as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 53.4 points. Toledo games average 55 points, and this week’s line is set at 44 points.

Bulls Offense Breakdown

Buffalo’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18 points per game, which ranks them 128th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 133 yards per game, placing them 124th nationally. They have completed 50.4% of their passes and converted just 22.4% of their third-down attempts.

C.J. Ogbonna leads the team with 624 passing yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 77. On the ground, Buffalo averages 121.4 rushing yards per game. Jacqez Barksdale leads the rushing attack with 203 yards and one touchdown.

Bulls Team Defense

Buffalo's defense struggled in their recent game against UConn, giving up 47 points in a 47-3 loss. Despite allowing just 99 rushing yards, they conceded 272 passing yards, though they did manage to force two interceptions.

On the season, Buffalo ranks 42nd nationally, allowing 24.2 points per game. Opponents are averaging 160 rushing yards per game and 207.6 passing yards, with a 61.8% completion rate and a 75.1 passer rating against Buffalo’s defense.

Rockets vs Bulls Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, Toledo has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
Through their last five home contests, the Buffalo Bulls offense has averaged 9 points per game while allowing an average of 31. Buffalo posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Buffalo Bulls have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Over the team's last three games as the favorite, the Toledo Rockets struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.