Bowling Green Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies Matchup

Check out our free Northern Illinois Huskies vs Bowling Green Falcons pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Bowling Green. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering the week seven matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies and Bowling Green Falcons, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. The Falcons are the slight -3 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 47.5 points. Northern Illinois has a 3-2 record, while Bowling Green comes in at 2-3 for the season.

Huskies vs. Falcons Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Northern Illinois Huskies at Bowling Green Falcons
Where: Bowling Green at Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds BOWLGR -3, NILL +123 | BOWLGR -148 O/U 47.5

Huskies Preview:

Northern Illinois enters Week 7 with a 3-2 record, ranking 89th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 93.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, the 23rd highest in the nation. So far, they are 1-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

The Huskies have a +9 average scoring margin and are 2-0-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in just one game this season and are 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points, while their average line has been 44.6 points. Northern Illinois’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 47.4 points.

Huskies Offense Breakdown

Northern Illinois has leaned heavily on their rushing attack this season, averaging 232 yards per game on the ground, ranking 21st nationally. They are 17th in rushing attempts, with 44.6 carries per game. Antario Brown leads the team with 401 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. The Huskies are converting 51.4% of their third-down opportunities, placing them 12th in the country.

Overall, Northern Illinois is scoring 28.2 points per game, and we have them ranked 82nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Quarterback Ethan Hampton has thrown for 913 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. The Huskies are 97th in passing yards per game, averaging 196 yards.

Huskies Team Defense

Northern Illinois' defense has been strong this season, ranking 25th nationally by allowing just 19.2 points per game. They’ve been particularly effective against the run, giving up only 95.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the country.

In their recent game against UMass, the defense allowed 20 points but held them to 115 rushing yards on 34 attempts. UMass threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns against Northern Illinois.

Falcons Preview:

The Huskies have a +9 average scoring margin and are 2-0-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in just one game this season and are 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points, while their average line has been 44.6 points. Northern Illinois’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 47.4 points.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 28.4 points per game, placing them 52nd in the nation, and they are ranked 42nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their passing game is the focal point, ranking 26th in completions with 22.4 per game and 37th in attempts with 33.2 per game. They are 62nd in passing yards, averaging 249 yards per game, but they have been efficient, completing 67.5% of their passes, which ranks 21st nationally. They also convert 46.2% of their third downs.

Connor Bazelak leads the Falcons’ passing attack with 1,243 yards and a 68.1% completion rate. He has thrown five touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. On the ground, Bowling Green averages 147 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the team with 270 rushing yards, four touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Malcolm Johnson Jr. is the top receiver with 207 yards and one touchdown on 22 catches.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green’s defense enters this week ranked 47th nationally, allowing 25.4 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 192.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 144th, while allowing 189.2 passing yards per game, placing them 48th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 99.6 against Bowling Green, completing 58.2% of their passes.

In their recent game against Akron, Bowling Green’s defense allowed 20 points and 322 total yards. Akron ran the ball 21 times for 116 yards, while Bowling Green’s secondary gave up 206 passing yards on 21 completions, though they didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

Huskies vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Northern Illinois Huskies last ten road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 25. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Northern Illinois Huskies have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
Through their last five games as the favorite, the Bowling Green Falcons have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.