Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas Matchup

Check out our free Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Mount Pleasant. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

Kick-off for this week 11 college football matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and Central Michigan Chippewas is set for 7:30 ET from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant. The game can be seen on ESPN2, and the Falcons are favored by -14 points. The money line odds have Bowling Green at -602 and Central Michigan at +427, with the over/under line currently at 48.5 points. Bowling Green enters the game with a 4-4 record, while Central Michigan is 3-5 on the season.

Falcons vs. Chippewas Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas
Where: Mount Pleasant at Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Date: Tuesday, November 5th
Betting Odds BOWLGR -14, BOWLGR -602 | CMICH +427 O/U 48.5

Falcons Preview:

Bowling Green enters Week 11 against Central Michigan with a 4-4 record. They are ranked 85th in our CFB power rankings but have a 90% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 2-2 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.

The Falcons have a +5.1 average scoring margin and are 3-4 against the spread. They’ve gone 3-1 ATS on the road but are 0-3 at home. As favorites, they are 0-4 ATS, while they’ve covered all three games as underdogs.

This week’s over/under line is 48.5 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged 49.1 points, with an average over/under line of 50.1 points. They are 3-4 against the over/under this season, with four games featuring higher lines than this week’s total.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 27.1 points per game, placing them 59th nationally as they head into week 11. They are ranked 61st in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is producing 148.6 yards per game, and Terion Stewart leads the team with 562 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry.

Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 1,815 yards and has a 68.8% completion rate. Bowling Green ranks 19th in the nation in completion percentage. Bazelak has 10 touchdown passes and four interceptions. The Falcons are 42nd in passing completions, averaging 20.4 per game.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green's defense has been solid this season, ranking 26th nationally by allowing just 22 points per game. They’ve given up 181.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 31st, and quarterbacks have completed 56.7% of their passes against them.

In their recent game against Toledo, Bowling Green’s defense allowed 26 points and 418 total yards, including 251 passing yards and three touchdowns, but they also came up with an interception.

Chippewas Preview:

Chippewas Offense Breakdown

Central Michigan’s offense has leaned on their ground game this season, ranking 46th in rushing attempts and 49th in rushing yards, with an average of 184.4 yards per game. Marion Lukes leads the team with 465 rushing yards, four touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. The Chippewas are scoring 27 points per game, placing them 60th nationally.

Quarterback Joe Labas has thrown for 1,114 yards, matching his seven touchdowns with seven interceptions. Central Michigan ranks 109th in passing yards per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 33.6%. Labas has a passer rating of 76, and the team is 105th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Chippewas Team Defense

Central Michigan's defense has struggled this season, allowing 32.2 points per game, including 46 points in their recent 46-7 loss to Miami (OH). They gave up 518 total yards in that game, with 277 rushing yards and 241 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 186.8 rushing yards per game against Central Michigan, while quarterbacks have completed 59.4% of their passes for an average of 209.5 yards per game.

Falcons vs Chippewas Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Bowling Green has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 27. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
Across the Central Michigan Chippewas last three home games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 38. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Central Michigan Chippewas have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
Over the team's last three games as the favorite, the Bowling Green Falcons struggled vs the spread going just 0-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.