Boise State Broncos vs San Jose State Spartans Matchup

Check out our free Boise State Broncos vs San Jose State Spartans pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in San Jose. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against San Jose State, with a -13.5 point spread in their favor. The game is set for 7:00 ET at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, and you can catch the action on CBSS. The Broncos are 8-1 on the season, while the Spartans are 6-3. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points.

Broncos vs. Spartans Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Boise State Broncos at San Jose State Spartans
Where: San Jose at CEFCU Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Betting Odds BOISE -13.5, BOISE -552 | SJST +399 O/U 61.5

Broncos Preview:

Boise State heads into Week 12 against San Jose State with an 8-1 record, ranked 21st in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 75.8% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 9th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 71.0%.

The Broncos are 4-0 at home and 3-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in seven of their nine games, going 7-0 as the favorite. Boise State’s average scoring margin is +18.7 points per game, and their ATS record stands at 5-2-1.

Boise State’s over/under record is 5-3, with their games averaging 68.9 points. This week’s line is set at 61.5 points, and their average over/under margin is +7.2 points per game.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 3rd nationally with 271 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty has been the key, amassing 1,734 rushing yards and scoring 23 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 43.8 points per game, and they are 5th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,908 yards with 18 touchdowns and just three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 105. Boise State ranks 24th in passer rating and 5th in third-down conversions, converting 51.3% of their attempts. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 573 yards and four touchdowns.

Broncos Team Defense

Boise State's defense is currently ranked 25th in the nation against the run, allowing just 112.4 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Nevada, they gave up only 87 rushing yards on 30 attempts. However, the secondary has struggled, ranking 134th nationally, allowing 247.1 passing yards per game and a passer rating of 100.1.

Against Nevada, Boise State allowed 232 passing yards and two touchdowns. Overall, they gave up 21 points and 13 first downs in the game. This season, opposing quarterbacks have completed 63.2% of their passes against Boise State’s defense.

Spartans Preview:

Boise State’s over/under record is 5-3, with their games averaging 68.9 points. This week’s line is set at 61.5 points, and their average over/under margin is +7.2 points per game.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

San Jose State’s offense is averaging 28.8 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 47th in the nation. They rank 73rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 6th in passing yards per game with 332.3. They also rank 14th in passing attempts per game, averaging 41.2.

Emmett Brown leads the team with 1,621 passing yards and a passer rating of 96. He has thrown 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Nick Nash has caught 86 passes for 1,156 yards and 13 touchdowns. The Spartans are averaging 98 rushing yards per game.

Spartans Team Defense

San Jose State's defense is ranked 46th nationally, allowing 24.1 points per game. They’ve given up 153.3 rushing yards per game and 235.9 passing yards, ranking 115th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 68.8 against them, the 16th-lowest in college football.

In their recent game against Oregon State, San Jose State’s defense allowed just 13 points but gave up 474 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.

Broncos vs Spartans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Boise State has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 30 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-0-1.
In their last three games at home, the San Jose State Spartans have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, San Jose State has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 3-7 straight up.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Boise State Broncos have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.