Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Matchup

Check out our free San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos pick and preview for this CFB week 10 game in Boise. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 10 CFB matchup.

Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week ten matchup against San Diego State, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise. The game will be broadcast on FS1, and the Broncos are currently -23.5 point favorites. The Aztecs come in with a 3-4 record, while the Broncos have just one loss and are ranked in the top 25. The over/under line is at 56.5 points for this one.

Aztecs vs. Broncos Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos
Where: Boise at Albertsons Stadium
Date: Friday, November 1st
Betting Odds BOISE -23.5, SDST +1095 | BOISE -2442 O/U 56.5

Aztecs Preview:

San Diego State enters Week 10 against Boise State with a 3-4 record, ranked 109th in our power rankings. They have a 33.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Aztecs are 1-2 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.

Against the spread, San Diego State is 4-2, with a -1.3 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 56.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. The Aztecs’ over/under record is 2-4, with an average line of 49.4 points and an average game total of 45.9 points.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, San Diego State’s offense ranks 122nd in our college football power rankings. They are averaging 22.3 points per game, placing them 76th nationally. On third downs, their conversion rate is just 33.7%, ranking 102nd.

Quarterback Danny O'Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards, completing 62.6% of his passes. He has six touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. The Aztecs are 99th in passing yards per game, averaging 213.6. Marquez Cooper leads the rushing attack with 748 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State's defense is ranked 34th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. In their recent game against Washington State, they gave up 29 points, including 257 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Opponents are averaging 216.6 passing yards per game and 164 rushing yards against San Diego State. The defense has faced the 92nd most rushing attempts in the country, averaging 39.6 per game.

Broncos Preview:

Against the spread, San Diego State is 4-2, with a -1.3 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 as the underdog.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 277.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been the standout performer, rushing for 1,376 yards and scoring 18 touchdowns, with an impressive 8 yards per carry. Overall, the Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 44.3 points per game, and they are 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,482 yards, completing 62.2% of his passes, with 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions. He has a passer rating of 104. Boise State ranks 10th in third-down conversions, converting 48.9% of their attempts. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 477 yards and four touchdowns.

Broncos Team Defense

Boise State's defense has allowed an average of 25.9 points per game this season, ranking 48th nationally. In their recent game against UNLV, they gave up 24 points, including 179 passing yards and two touchdowns, while also allowing 189 rushing yards. The defense managed to force one interception during the game.

Opponents are averaging 262.4 passing yards per game against Boise State, ranking the Broncos 142nd in the nation. Quarterbacks have completed 65.1% of their passes and have a passer rating of 103.7 against Boise State. On the ground, the Broncos have allowed an average of 117.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 37th nationally.

Aztecs vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, San Diego State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
Through their last ten home contests, the Boise State Broncos offense has averaged 36 points per game while allowing an average of 27. Boise State posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-4-2 ATS.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the San Diego State Aztecs have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
As the betting favorite, the Boise State Broncos have an ATS mark of just 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Boise State posted a straight up mark of 10-0 in these matchups.