Boise State Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Matchup

Check out our free Nevada Wolf Pack vs Boise State Broncos pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Boise. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

FOX will be covering this week 11 college football matchup between the Nevada Wolf Pack and Boise State Broncos, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise. Boise State is the heavy favorite with a -24 point spread, and the over/under line is currently at 60.5 points. The Broncos are 7-1 on the season, while the Wolf Pack come in with a 3-7 record.

Wolf Pack vs. Broncos Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos
Where: Boise at Albertsons Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds BOISE -24, NEVADA +1173 | BOISE -2794 O/U 60.5

Wolf Pack Preview:

Nevada heads into Week 11 against Boise State with a 3-7 record and ranks 100th in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are slim, at just 0.6%.

The Wolf Pack has been the underdog in all ten games this season, going 2-6 in those matchups. They have a -4 average scoring margin and a 4-4-1 record against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 60.5 points, the highest for Nevada this season. They are 5-4 against the over/under, with an average line of 48.4 points and an average total of 53.2 points per game.

Wolf Pack Offense Breakdown

Nevada’s offense is averaging 24.6 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 73rd in the nation. They rank 67th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,542 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 95.

Nevada ranks 14th in rushing, averaging 189.1 yards per game. Savion Red leads the team with 676 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Jaden Smith has 630 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 45 catches.

Wolf Pack Team Defense

Nevada's defense has struggled this season, allowing 28.6 points per game, ranking them 90th nationally. In their recent game against Colorado State, they gave up 38 points, including 170 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. The defense also allowed 157 passing yards in the game.

Opponents have averaged 229.5 passing yards per game against Nevada, completing 61.7% of their passes. The Wolf Pack’s defense has faced 33.2 rushing attempts per game, giving up an average of 160.4 rushing yards, ranking 104th in the country.

Broncos Preview:

Nevada heads into Week 11 against Boise State with a 3-7 record and ranks 100th in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are slim, at just 0.6%.

The Wolf Pack has been the underdog in all ten games this season, going 2-6 in those matchups. They have a -4 average scoring margin and a 4-4-1 record against the spread.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Boise State’s offense has been dominant this season, ranking 3rd in points per game with 45.8. They are also 4th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their run game has been their strength, averaging 270.2 rushing yards per game, which is 4th in the nation. Ashton Jeanty leads the team with 1,525 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns, averaging 8 yards per carry.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,789 yards with a passer rating of 110. He has 17 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions, completing 64% of his passes. Boise State is 4th in third-down conversions, converting 51.4% of their attempts. Cameron Camper leads the receivers with 527 yards and four touchdowns.

Broncos Team Defense

Boise State's defense will look to build on a strong performance in their last game, where they forced two interceptions and allowed just 24 points. They limited San Diego State to 256 total yards, including 101 rushing yards on 26 carries and 155 passing yards.

On the season, Boise State is giving up 25.6 points per game. They rank 36th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 115.6 yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 249 yards per game, which ranks 132nd in the country.

Wolf Pack vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Nevada Wolf Pack last three road games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 32. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
When looking at their past three matchups at home, Boise State has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
The last ten games that Nevada was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 2-8 straight up.
The last ten games that Boise State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-2-1 while going 10-0 straight up.