Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Matchup

Check out our free TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears pick and preview for this CFB week 10 game in Waco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 10 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 is covering this week ten TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears matchup, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from McLane Stadium in Waco. The Bears are the -3 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 64.5 points. Both teams are looking to get to .500 on the season, as Baylor is 4-4, and TCU comes in with a 5-3 record.

Horned Frogs vs. Bears Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears
Where: Waco at McLane Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 2nd
Betting Odds BAYL -3, TCU +131 | BAYL -157 O/U 64.5

Horned Frogs Preview:

TCU heads into Week 10 against Baylor with a 5-3 record, ranked 51st in our power rankings. They have a 94.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.4% shot at winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 3-1 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.

TCU’s ATS record is 2-5, with an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread as favorites but 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 60.8 points, and their over/under record is 5-2, with an average line of 58.1 points.

Horned Frogs Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, TCU’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game, ranking 31st in the nation. They are 44th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been the focal point, ranking 5th in both passing yards (333 per game) and completions (26.5 per game). They are also 10th in passing attempts, with 39.6 per game, and 18th in completion percentage at 66.9%.

Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,614 yards, completing 66.3% of his passes, with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. His passer rating is 102. Jack Bech leads the receiving corps with 825 yards and 7 touchdowns on 46 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, averaging just 107.2 yards per game, placing them 113th nationally.

Horned Frogs Team Defense

TCU's defense has allowed 28.2 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent matchup against Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs gave up 438 total yards, with 180 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 258 passing yards, while also allowing three rushing touchdowns and one passing score.

Opponents have averaged 168.8 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 116th nationally. The defense has faced the 39th fewest pass attempts in the country, allowing just 173.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th, and a completion rate of 58.1%.

Bears Preview:

TCU’s ATS record is 2-5, with an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread as favorites but 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 60.8 points, and their over/under record is 5-2, with an average line of 58.1 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game, ranking 28th nationally. They are also 45th in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,541 yards, completing 60.1% of his passes, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106.

Baylor ranks 42nd in rushing, averaging 176.2 yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 380 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron has 365 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns this season.

Bears Team Defense

Heading into this week's matchup, Baylor's defense is allowing 25.9 points per game. They rank 81st nationally, giving up 215.8 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 54.6% of their passes, the 19th-lowest percentage in the country. On the ground, Baylor is allowing 151 rushing yards per game on an average of 40 attempts per game.

In their recent game against Oklahoma State, Baylor's defense gave up 28 points but limited the Cowboys to just 74 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Oklahoma State threw for 359 yards, completing 28 of 42 passes, while Baylor's defense also forced an interception.

Horned Frogs vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the TCU Horned Frogs offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 37. TCU posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-7 ATS.
Through their last three home contests, the Baylor Bears offense has averaged 37 points per game while allowing an average of 38. Baylor posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
As the betting underdog, the TCU Horned Frogs have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.