Baylor Bears vs LSU Tigers Matchup

Check out our free Baylor Bears vs LSU Tigers pick and preview for this CFB Kinder's Texas Bowl game in Houston. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this Kinder's Texas Bowl CFB matchup.

LSU is the -3 point favorite as they head into this matchup with the Baylor Bears in the Kinder's Texas Bowl. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET from NRG Stadium in Houston, with ESPN handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is at 60.5 points. Both teams are 8-4 for the season, and the money line odds are -131 for LSU and +109 for Baylor.

Bears vs. Tigers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Baylor Bears at LSU Tigers
Where: Houston at NRG Stadium
Date: Tuesday, December 31st
Betting Odds LSU -3, BAYL +109 | LSU -131 O/U 60.5

Bears Preview:

Baylor enters their Week 1 matchup against LSU with an 8-4 record. They’ve gone 4-1 at home and 3-2 on the road this season. The Bears have been favored in six of their 12 games, going 5-1 as the favorite.

Baylor’s ATS record is 8-2, and they have a +9.4 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 against the spread at home and 4-1 on the road, with a 5-1 mark as the favorite.

Their over/under record stands at 6-3-1, with an average line of 54.3 points. This week’s line is 60.5, and their games have averaged 59.9 points per contest.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 1, Baylor’s offense ranks 23rd in our power rankings and 18th in scoring, with 34.7 points per game. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing attack with 2,626 yards and a passer rating of 107. He has thrown 26 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, completing 62.8% of his passes.

The Bears average 246 passing yards per game, ranking 42nd nationally. They are 27th in third down conversions, with a 44.2% success rate. On the ground, Baylor averages 191.4 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington has rushed for 1,004 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 643 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Bears Team Defense

In their recent game, Baylor's defense allowed 17 points but gave up 491 total yards, including 211 rushing yards and 280 passing yards. They did manage to force two interceptions and held Kansas to 18 first downs.

So far this season, Baylor's defense is ranked 49th nationally, allowing 25.2 points per game. Opponents are averaging 156.5 rushing yards per game and 227.4 passing yards against Baylor, completing 55.7% of their passes.

Tigers Preview:

Baylor’s ATS record is 8-2, and they have a +9.4 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 against the spread at home and 4-1 on the road, with a 5-1 mark as the favorite.

Their over/under record stands at 6-3-1, with an average line of 54.3 points. This week’s line is 60.5, and their games have averaged 59.9 points per contest.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is ranked 15th in our power rankings heading into week 11. They are 43rd in scoring, with 29.3 points per game, and they have relied heavily on their passing game, ranking 8th in the nation with 315.3 passing yards per game. They are 4th in both passing attempts and completions per game, and they have converted 49.4% of their third downs, which ranks 6th nationally. However, their rushing attack has been lacking, averaging just 118.2 yards per game, which ranks 107th.

Garrett Nussmeier leads the Tigers’ passing attack with 3,739 yards and 26 touchdowns, though he has thrown 11 interceptions and has a passer rating of 95. Kyren Lacy is the top receiver, with 866 yards and nine touchdowns on 58 catches. Caden Durham leads the ground game with 689 rushing yards and six touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU's defense put together a solid performance in their recent game, allowing just 17 points against Oklahoma. They gave up 288 total yards, with 178 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 110 passing yards. The secondary also recorded an interception and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

On the season, LSU's defense is ranked 38th nationally, giving up 23.8 points per game. They’ve allowed 151.2 rushing yards per game and 205.7 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 60.8% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 85.6.

Bears vs Tigers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 30 points per game.
Through their last five home games, LSU has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 25 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the LSU Tigers have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.