Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks Matchup

Check out our free Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Waco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 is covering the week 14 matchup between the Kansas Jayhawks and Baylor Bears, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from McLane Stadium in Waco. The Jayhawks are the slight -1 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is at 61.5 points. Kansas comes in with a 5-6 record, while Baylor is 7-4 on the season.

Jayhawks vs. Bears Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears
Where: Waco at McLane Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 30th
Betting Odds BAYL -1, KAN -104 | BAYL -116 O/U 61.5

Jayhawks Preview:

Kansas enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, hoping to become bowl-eligible against Baylor. They are ranked 28th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of reaching a bowl game stand at 51.7%.

The Jayhawks have a +6.5 average scoring margin this season and are 5-5 against the spread. They’ve been favored in four games, going 1-3 ATS as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5, the highest they’ve faced this season. Kansas’ over/under record is 5-5, with their games averaging 55.1 points and an average line of 55 points.

Jayhawks Offense Breakdown

Kansas has leaned heavily on their rushing attack this season, averaging 213.8 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 14th nationally. Devin Neal has been the focal point, rushing for 1,133 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Overall, Kansas is 41st in scoring, with 30.8 points per game, but they are ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.

Quarterback Jalon Daniels has thrown for 2,174 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, with a passer rating of 84. Kansas ranks 85th in passer rating and 90th in passing yards per game. They are 3rd in the nation in third-down conversions, converting 51.1% of their attempts. Luke Grimm leads the team with 617 receiving yards and six touchdowns.

Jayhawks Team Defense

Kansas' defense has allowed an average of 24.3 points per game this season, ranking 49th nationally. In their recent game, they gave up 21 points but held Colorado to just 43 rushing yards on 12 attempts. However, Kansas allowed 266 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 143 rushing yards per game against Kansas, while quarterbacks have posted a 91.6 passer rating, completing 61.3% of their passes for an average of 232.6 yards per game, ranking Kansas 111th in the nation in passing yards allowed.

Bears Preview:

Kansas enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, hoping to become bowl-eligible against Baylor. They are ranked 28th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of reaching a bowl game stand at 51.7%.

The Jayhawks have a +6.5 average scoring margin this season and are 5-5 against the spread. They’ve been favored in four games, going 1-3 ATS as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5, the highest they’ve faced this season. Kansas’ over/under record is 5-5, with their games averaging 55.1 points and an average line of 55 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 14, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.7 points per game, placing them 24th nationally. They rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing game with 2,316 yards and 22 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 102. Overall, Baylor ranks 32nd in passer rating.

The Bears average 240.2 passing yards per game, ranking 48th, and convert 40.5% of their third downs. Bryson Washington leads the rushing attack with 812 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron has 541 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns.

Bears Team Defense

In their recent game against Houston, Baylor's defense put together a strong performance, allowing just 10 points. They limited Houston to 239 total yards, including 92 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 147 passing yards. Baylor's secondary also came up with three interceptions in the game.

On the season, Baylor's defense is giving up 26 points per game. They have allowed 151.5 rushing yards per game and 222.6 passing yards. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56% of their passes, with a passer rating of 77.5 against Baylor’s defense.

Jayhawks vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Kansas has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 29 points per game.
Baylor has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 42 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Kansas Jayhawks have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
Baylor has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.