Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones Matchup

Check out our free Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones pick and preview for this CFB week 6 game in Ames. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 6 CFB matchup.

Heading into this week six matchup, the Iowa State Cyclones are undefeated at 4-0, while the Baylor Bears are 2-3 on the season. The game is set for 7:30 ET at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames and will be broadcast on FOX. Iowa State is favored by -12.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 45.5 points.

Bears vs. Cyclones Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones
Where: Ames at Jack Trice Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Betting Odds IOWAST -12.5, BAYL +379 | IOWAST -511 O/U 45.5

Bears Preview:

Baylor enters Week 6 with a 2-3 record, ranked 58th in our power rankings. They have a 37.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. So far, they are 1-1 at home and 0-1 on the road.

Their ATS record is 2-1, and they have a +9.2 average scoring margin. Baylor is 1-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-0 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is set at 45.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 49.6 points, with an average over/under line of 48.6 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Baylor’s offense ranks 86th in our college football offensive power rankings, averaging 29.4 points per game, which places them 52nd nationally. They are 16th in rushing attempts, averaging 38 carries per game, but have only managed 146.2 rushing yards per game.

Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor’s passing attack with 787 yards, completing 60.2% of his throws, and has six touchdowns with two interceptions. Baylor ranks 42nd in passing attempts and completions, averaging 222.6 yards per game. Josh Cameron has 267 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

Bears Team Defense

Despite forcing two interceptions, Baylor's defense struggled in their latest game, a 34-28 loss to BYU, allowing 34 points. They gave up 369 total yards, including 153 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 216 yards through the air.

On the season, Baylor ranks 38th nationally, allowing 20.2 points per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 47.6% of their passes, the seventh-lowest rate in the country, averaging a passer rating of 61.1. Baylor’s defense has faced the 18th fewest pass attempts nationally, but they’ve allowed 144 rushing yards per game, ranking 79th.

Cyclones Preview:

Baylor enters Week 6 with a 2-3 record, ranked 58th in our power rankings. They have a 37.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. So far, they are 1-1 at home and 0-1 on the road.

Their ATS record is 2-1, and they have a +9.2 average scoring margin. Baylor is 1-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-0 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is set at 45.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 49.6 points, with an average over/under line of 48.6 points.

Cyclones Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 28.2 points per game, placing them 57th in the nation. However, they are ranked 28th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 896 yards, completing 66.4% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. His passer rating is 106.

Iowa State ranks 64th in passing attempts, averaging 28.5 per game, and they are 76th in passing yards, with 236.2 per game. They convert 42.3% of their third downs. Leading receiver Jaylin Noel has 353 yards and two touchdowns on 19 catches. On the ground, the Cyclones average 163 rushing yards per game.

Cyclones Team Defense

Heading into their matchup against Baylor, Iowa State's defense ranks third nationally, allowing just 7.2 points per game. They also rank fourth in passing yards allowed, giving up only 102.5 yards per game, and have held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 34.9, the second-lowest in the country. Opponents have completed just 49.2% of their passes against Iowa State.

In their recent 20-0 win over Houston, Iowa State's defense forced two interceptions and allowed just 72 passing yards. Houston managed 171 rushing yards on 30 attempts, but Iowa State still held them scoreless, giving up only 11 first downs in the game.

Bears vs Cyclones Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, Baylor has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
Through their last ten home games, Iowa State has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 24 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Iowa State Cyclones have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.