Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks Matchup

Check out our free UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves pick and preview for this CFB week 13 game in Jonesboro. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the UL Monroe Warhawks and Arkansas State Red Wolves as they take the field at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro. Kick-off is set for 3:00 ET. The Red Wolves are the -3.5 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 52.5 points. The Warhawks are 5-5 on the season, while the Red Wolves hold a 6-4 record coming into this game.

Warhawks vs. Red Wolves Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Where: Jonesboro at Centennial Bank Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 23rd
Betting Odds ARKST -3.5, LAMON +135 | ARKST -162 O/U 52.5

Warhawks Preview:

UL Monroe enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 106th in our power rankings. They have a 58.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Sun Belt. The Warhawks are 3-1 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.

Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-4, with a 3-1 record at home and 2-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in just one game this year, and their average scoring margin is -7.2 points per game.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 52.5 points. UL Monroe’s games have averaged 48.8 points, with their over/under record at 6-3. Their average line has been 48.1 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 1.2 points per game.

Warhawks Offense Breakdown

UL Monroe’s offense has been heavily reliant on their ground game, ranking 29th in rushing attempts per game and averaging 169 rushing yards per contest. Ahmad Hardy has been the focal point, rushing for 977 yards and scoring 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Overall, the Warhawks are averaging 20.8 points per game and are ranked 108th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has struggled, averaging just 131.2 yards per game, and they have converted only 31.3% of their third-down attempts. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 989 yards this season, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions.

Warhawks Team Defense

UL Monroe's defense struggled in their recent game against Auburn, allowing 48 points and 509 total yards. They gave up 304 passing yards and five touchdowns through the air, while Auburn also rushed for 205 yards.

On the season, UL Monroe ranks 34th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up 184.9 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 57.3% of their passes. However, the Warhawks have struggled against the run, ranking 142nd by allowing 204 rushing yards per game.

Red Wolves Preview:

Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-4, with a 3-1 record at home and 2-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in just one game this year, and their average scoring margin is -7.2 points per game.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, Arkansas State’s offense ranks 95th in our college football power rankings, scoring 23.8 points per game. They are 72nd in scoring and convert 39% of their third downs. Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 2,131 yards, but he has as many interceptions as touchdowns, with eight each, and his passer rating is 78.

Arkansas State is 26th in passing attempts, averaging 34.9 per game, and they are 30th in completions. They average 229.4 passing yards per game and rank 46th in completion percentage at 61.6%. Corey Rucker leads the team with 782 receiving yards. On the ground, Arkansas State averages 162.5 rushing yards per game.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Arkansas State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 32.6 points per game. They rank 149th in rushing defense, giving up 208.1 yards per game, and 137th in passing defense, allowing 253.3 yards per game.

In their recent game against Georgia State, Arkansas State allowed 20 points but held them to 65 rushing yards on 23 attempts. Georgia State threw the ball 49 times, totaling 346 passing yards, while Arkansas State’s defense forced two interceptions.

Warhawks vs Red Wolves Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, UL Monroe has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
In their last ten games at home, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 21 points per game in these contests.
As the betting underdog, the UL Monroe Warhawks have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. UL Monroe posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.