Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Matchup

Check out our free Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves pick and preview for this CFB week 9 game in Jonesboro. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 9 CFB matchup.

Arkansas State comes into this week nine matchup as the -7 point favorite over Troy. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, with ESPN+ handling the broadcast. The money line odds have the Red Wolves at -267 and the Trojans at +217. The over/under line is currently at 51.5 points. Troy is 1-6 on the season, while Arkansas State sits at 4-3.

Trojans vs. Red Wolves Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Where: Jonesboro at Centennial Bank Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 26th
Betting Odds ARKST -7, TROY +217 | ARKST -267 O/U 51.5

Trojans Preview:

At 1-6, Troy faces Arkansas State in Week 9. They are ranked 108th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 0.9% for the rest of the season.

Troy has been favored in two of their seven games this season but lost both, going 0-2 as the favorite. They’ve posted an average scoring margin of -8.4 points per game and are 1-5 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 51.5 points. Troy’s games have averaged 46.4 points, with an average line of 49.2 points. Their over/under record is 2-4 this season.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Troy’s offense is averaging 19 points per game, placing them 94th in the nation. They are also ranked 109th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is producing 121.9 yards per game, and they are 93rd in passing yards, averaging 192.7 per game.

Goose Crowder leads Troy’s passing game with 546 yards and a 69.8% completion rate. He has thrown five touchdowns without an interception, giving him a passer rating of 122. Damien Taylor has rushed for 422 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Devonte Ross has 625 receiving yards and eight touchdowns this season.

Trojans Team Defense

In their recent game against South Alabama, Troy's defense allowed 25 points, giving up 319 total yards, including 161 rushing yards on 39 attempts and 158 passing yards. They also allowed one rushing and one passing touchdown.

For the season, Troy’s defense ranks 65th nationally, allowing 27.4 points per game. Opponents have averaged 180.9 rushing yards per game and 193 passing yards, completing 71.4% of their throws.

Red Wolves Preview:

At 1-6, Troy faces Arkansas State in Week 9. They are ranked 108th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 0.9% for the rest of the season.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 51.5 points. Troy’s games have averaged 46.4 points, with an average line of 49.2 points. Their over/under record is 2-4 this season.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 22.6 points per game, placing them 78th nationally. They are ranked 89th in our offensive power rankings. The Red Wolves have focused on their passing game, ranking 17th in passing attempts per game, with 36.4, and 21st in completions, averaging 22.1 per game. They are 58th in passing yards, with 236.6 per game, and have converted 39.3% of their third-down attempts.

Jaylen Raynor leads the team with 1,518 passing yards, completing 60.6% of his passes. He has thrown seven touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 78. On the ground, Arkansas State averages 137.7 rushing yards per game. Ja'Quez Cross leads the rushing attack with 334 yards and averages 6 yards per carry. Corey Rucker is the top receiver, with 510 yards and three touchdowns on 35 receptions.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Arkansas State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 31.4 points per game. They rank 171st in the nation against the run, giving up 221.7 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 91.5 passer rating and completed 64.7% of their passes, averaging 226 passing yards per game against Arkansas State.

In their recent game against Southern Miss, Arkansas State allowed 28 points but still secured a 44-28 win. The defense gave up 369 total yards, including 182 rushing yards on 46 attempts, while holding Southern Miss to 187 passing yards and forcing one interception.

Trojans vs Red Wolves Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road games, Troy has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 18 points per game.
Across their five previous home games, Arkansas State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 19 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Troy Trojans have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Troy posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.