Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Matchup

Check out our free Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

At 7:30 ET, this Southeastern matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers will be played at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. ABC will be covering this game as both teams come in with a 6-2 record. Alabama is the slight -3-point favorite on the road, and the over/under line is currently set at 58.5 points. The money line odds are -146 for Alabama and +122 for LSU.

Crimson Tide vs. Tigers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers
Where: Baton Rouge at Tiger Stadium (LA)
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds ALA -3, ALA -146 | LSU +122 O/U 58.5

Crimson Tide Preview:

Alabama heads into Week 11 against LSU with a 6-2 record, ranked 3rd in our power rankings. They are 5-0 at home but 1-2 on the road. Alabama has a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 14.3% chance of winning the Southeastern, according to projections. They have a 55% chance of making the playoff and a 9.1% chance of winning the national championship.

Their ATS record is 4-4, with a +19 average scoring margin. Alabama is 3-2 against the spread at home and 1-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in seven of their eight games, going 3-4 ATS as the favorite.

This season, Alabama’s over/under record is 5-3, with their games averaging 56.2 points. The average over/under line has been 54.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense is averaging 37.6 points per game, ranking 15th in college football, and they are 11th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 1,942 yards and has a passer rating of 107. The team ranks 24th nationally in passer rating and 17th in completion percentage, completing 67.4% of their passes.

Milroe has 13 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. Leading the rushing attack is Jam Miller, with 450 yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Ryan Williams leads the receiving corps with 702 yards and seven touchdowns on 35 catches.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

Alabama's defense is coming off a strong performance, shutting out Missouri and forcing three interceptions. They allowed just 72 passing yards and 167 rushing yards on 39 attempts, giving up 239 total yards.

On the season, Alabama ranks 15th nationally, allowing 18.6 points per game. Opponents have averaged 146.4 rushing yards per game and 193.2 passing yards, with a 58.4% completion rate and a passer rating of 72.

Tigers Preview:

This season, Alabama’s over/under record is 5-3, with their games averaging 56.2 points. The average over/under line has been 54.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is ranked 9th in our power rankings heading into week 11. They are 30th in points per game, averaging 32.8. The Tigers have been pass-heavy, ranking 7th in passing yards with 333.2 per game, and they are 10th in third-down conversions, converting 49.1% of their attempts.

Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 2,631 yards, and LSU is 12th in passing attempts per game. Nussmeier has 20 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passer rating of 95. Kyren Lacy leads the team with 618 receiving yards and six touchdowns. On the ground, LSU is averaging 116.6 rushing yards per game.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU's defense has allowed an average of 22.8 points per game this season, ranking 29th nationally. In their recent game against Texas A&M, they gave up 38 points, allowing 351 total yards, including 145 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 206 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 135.8 rushing yards per game against LSU and 229.6 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 61.9% of their passes with an 87.7 passer rating against the Tigers’ defense.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the Alabama Crimson Tide offense has averaged 31 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Alabama posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 5-5 ATS.
In their last five games at home, the LSU Tigers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 28 points per game in these contests.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the LSU Tigers have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Alabama Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.