Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Matchup

Check out our free Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos pick and preview for this CFB week 7 game in Albuquerque. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 7 CFB matchup.

At 7:00 ET, truT will be televising the week seven matchup between the Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos. The game will be played at University Stadium in Albuquerque, with the Lobos coming in as the -6.5 point favorite. Both teams are 1-4 on the season, and the over/under line is currently set at 54.5 points.

Falcons vs. Lobos Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos
Where: Albuquerque at University Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Betting Odds NMX -6.5, AIRF +196 | NMX -244 O/U 54.5

Falcons Preview:

Air Force enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, facing New Mexico. They are ranked 121st in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 1.7%.

The Falcons have been favored in two of their five games but have gone 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -12.4 points per game, and they are 0-4 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 54.5 points. Air Force’s games have averaged 35.2 points, and their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 39 points.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 133rd in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 11.4 points per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 30.7%, and they are 129th in passing yards, with only 76 yards per game. John Busha, their leading passer, has 240 yards and three interceptions, with no touchdowns. His passer rating is 26.

Air Force is 4th in rushing attempts, averaging 49.8 per game, and they gain 174.6 rushing yards per game. Owen Allen leads the team with 101 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry. Cade Harris has 124 receiving yards on nine catches.

Falcons Team Defense

Air Force's defense struggled in their recent game, allowing 34 points in a 34-7 loss to Navy. They gave up 329 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, while also allowing 134 passing yards, totaling 463 yards surrendered.

On the season, Air Force ranks 41st in the nation, giving up 23.8 points per game. They are allowing 183.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 130th, and 187 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 91.1 passer rating and a 63.2% completion rate against the Falcons.

Lobos Preview:

Air Force enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, facing New Mexico. They are ranked 121st in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 1.7%.

The Falcons have been favored in two of their five games but have gone 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -12.4 points per game, and they are 0-4 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 54.5 points. Air Force’s games have averaged 35.2 points, and their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 39 points.

Lobos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, New Mexico’s offense is averaging 32 points per game, placing them 35th nationally, and they are ranked 34th in our offensive power rankings. They have been a pass-heavy team, averaging 38.6 attempts per game, ranking 18th in the country, and completing 22 passes per game. Their passing attack is averaging 261.8 yards per game.

Devon Dampier has thrown for 1,309 yards this season, with six touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 75. New Mexico ranks 111th in passer rating and 80th in completion percentage at 57%. Dampier’s top target, Luke Wysong, has 454 receiving yards and one touchdown. On the ground, the Lobos are averaging 200.2 rushing yards per game.

Lobos Team Defense

New Mexico's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 43.8 points per game. In their recent game against New Mexico State, they gave up 40 points, including 285 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 243.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, while quarterbacks have posted a 113.7 passer rating and 260.6 passing yards per game.

Falcons vs Lobos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their five previous road games, Air Force has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 16 points per game.
In their last three home games, New Mexico has averaged 36 points per game while allowing 48. The team's record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Air Force has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 4-6 straight up.
As the betting favorite, the New Mexico Lobos have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.