CFB Game Prediction

Florida vs Texas Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 6 on 10/4/2025

Want our best Florida vs Texas prediction for 10/4/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Texas travel to Florida in Week 6 on 10/4/25 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, in Florida. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

Week 6 of the 2025 college football season brings a highly anticipated game between the Texas Longhorns and the Florida Gators. This showdown is set to take place at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL, with kickoff scheduled for Saturday, October 4th at 3:30 PM ET. Fans can tune in to ESPN for live coverage.

The Texas Longhorns, entering the game ranked #9 in the AP Poll and #7 in the Coaches Poll, have had a strong start to their season. They hold a 3-1 record, with all three wins coming at home. Texas will look to improve on their 0-1 road record as they visit the Gators.

Meanwhile, the Florida Gators have struggled early in the season, currently holding a 1-3 record. Their sole victory came in their season opener against LIU Sharks at home. As they return to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, the Gators aim to break their three-game losing streak.

Florida vs Texas At a Glance

  • Game Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL
  • Game Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Broadcast: ESPN
  • Texas Longhorns AP Rank: #9
  • Florida Gators Record: 1-3
  • Consensus Odds: Texas Moneyline -248, Florida Moneyline +203

Florida Gators Eye Redemption in Home Battle

Offensive Struggles

The Florida Gators’ offense has faced challenges this season, ranking 74th in points with just 88. They have amassed 821 passing yards, placing them at 97th, while their rushing yards rank even lower at 111th with 492. Despite these struggles, they have managed to secure 78 first downs, ranking a respectable 48th.

Defensive Standouts

Defensively, the Gators have shown strength by allowing only 64 points, placing them at 35th. Their ability to create turnovers is noteworthy, with two interceptions ranking them 3rd and two fumbles recovered ranking 5th. They have also recorded two sacks, positioning them 19th in this category.

Recent Game Performances

In their recent outing against the Miami Hurricanes, the Gators fell 26-7, struggling to generate offensive momentum with only 61 passing yards. Their ground game was similarly stifled, managing just 80 rushing yards. The loss to Miami adds to their recent challenges, following defeats to LSU and South Florida.

The game against LSU saw the Gators put up a fight with 287 passing yards but they were hindered by five interceptions. Their rushing game struggled, gaining only 79 yards compared to LSU’s 102. In their earlier game against South Florida, the Gators narrowly lost 18-16, matching their opponent with 20 first downs.

Star Players

Quarterback DJ Lagway has been a bright spot with 690 passing yards and five touchdowns, despite dealing with a leg injury. Jadan Baugh leads the rushing attack with 289 yards and two touchdowns. In the receiving corps, Vernell Brown III has contributed 219 receiving yards over four games.

On the defensive side, the Gators’ interceptions and fumbles have been pivotal, keeping them in games despite offensive woes. Their defensive line will need to continue its strong performance to support the offense’s efforts to turn the season around.

Injury Concerns

The Gators’ depth is being tested with key players like DJ Lagway and Dallas Wilson dealing with leg injuries. Several other players are listed as questionable, including Caleb Banks and George Gumbs Jr. These injuries could impact their performance and depth in upcoming games.

Team Betting Trends

  • ATS – After Win: Last 7 Games (2024–2025) → 6-1 (85.7%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 28 Games (2021–2025) → 19-9 (67.9%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 30 Games (2020–2025) → 20-10 (66.7%)
  • ATS – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
  • ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 22 Games (2022–2025) → 15-7 (68.2%)
  • O/U – After Loss: Last 23 Games (2021–2025) → 15-8 (65.2%)
  • O/U – Away Games: Last 27 Games (2020–2025) → 17-10 (63.0%)
  • ATS – All Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2025) → 9-4 (69.2%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: Last 24 Games (2022–2025) → 15-9 (62.5%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: Last 28 Games (2020–2025) → 17-11 (60.7%)

Texas Longhorns Prepare for Gators Showdown

Florida Gators Team Overview

The Florida Gators are set to host the Texas Longhorns at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. This matchup is eagerly anticipated, as the Gators aim to continue their season on a high note. Facing a potent Texas squad, Florida will need to bring their best game.

Florida’s season has seen a mix of results, showcasing both their potential and areas needing improvement. The Gators’ offense has shown moments of brilliance, but consistency remains key. Defensively, they will need to tighten up against a high-caliber Texas offense.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback play will be crucial for Florida, as their ability to control the tempo and maintain possession will impact the game. The Gators’ running backs also play a pivotal role in sustaining drives and keeping the Texas defense honest.

On the defensive side, Florida’s secondary will face a stern test against Texas’ aerial attack. Their ability to disrupt the passing game could be a deciding factor in the outcome.

Gators’ Recent Form

Florida’s recent performances have been a mixed bag, with the team showing resilience in tough games. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks will be tested against a formidable opponent like Texas.

The Gators’ home form has been solid, and they will look to leverage the home-field advantage. A strong start could set the tone for a competitive contest.

Florida’s Strategy Against Texas

Against a well-rounded Texas team, Florida will need to execute their game plan with precision. Keeping the Texas offense off the field by controlling the clock will be vital.

Offensively, diversifying their attack to keep the Texas defense guessing could open up opportunities. Special teams may also play a pivotal role in determining the game’s momentum.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – Home Games: Florida has been strong at home, looking to extend their positive record.
  • ATS – As Underdog: The Gators have performed well against the spread when positioned as the underdog.
  • O/U – After Win: Florida’s games have varied in total points following a victory.

Florida vs Texas Prediction: Over 42.5

In this upcoming game between the Florida Gators and Texas Longhorns, the total points line is set at 42.5. Texas has averaged over 30 points per game this season and will be keen to continue their offensive prowess against Florida’s defense.

Florida, on the other hand, has struggled this season but playing at home might provide a spark to their offense. In their previous matchup against Texas, the combined score was 66, suggesting a potential for high-scoring outcomes when these teams meet.

Both teams have shown tendencies towards higher scores, with Texas ranking decently in offensive metrics and Florida having favorable trends following a loss. Given the offensive potential of Texas and Florida’s capability to score at home, the over seems like a promising play.

Considering these factors, we project a scoreline that exceeds the total set, with Texas capitalizing on their offensive strengths and Florida finding ways to contribute to a higher-scoring game.

  • Florida vs Texas Prediction: Over 42.5
  • Florida vs Texas Score: Texas 31 – Florida 21
To Top