CFB Game Prediction

Florida Atlantic vs Memphis Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 5 on 9/27/2025

Want our best Florida Atlantic vs Memphis prediction for 9/27/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Memphis travel to Florida Atlantic in Week 5 on 9/27/25 at Flagler Credit Union Stadium, in Florida Atlantic. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 5 of the 2025 college football season, the undefeated Memphis Tigers travel to Boca Raton, FL, to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. The Tigers, with a strong 4-0 start, aim to continue their dominant performance on the road. Meanwhile, the Owls, sitting at 1-2, look to leverage their perfect home record for an upset. The Memphis Tigers have shown versatility and resilience this season, evident in their close 32-31 win against Arkansas in their latest game. Their balanced attack, with impressive rushing and passing yards in previous games, makes them a challenging opponent. On the other hand, the Florida Atlantic Owls have had a mixed start but will aim to replicate their Week 2 home performance, where they secured a convincing 56-14 victory. Memphis is favored with a moneyline of -528, indicating strong confidence from sportsbooks, while Florida Atlantic has a moneyline of +393. The spread is set at 13.5 points in favor of Memphis, with the total points over/under marked at 61.5. This game, aired on ESPN2, promises an intriguing encounter as both teams seek to establish dominance in the American Conference.

Florida Atlantic vs Memphis At a Glance

  • Game Venue: Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, FL
  • Game Date & Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025, at 7:00 PM
  • Broadcast: ESPN2
  • Memphis Tigers Record: 4-0 (2-0 Road)
  • Florida Atlantic Owls Record: 1-2 (1-0 Home)
  • Betting Odds: Memphis -528, FAU +393, Spread: Memphis -13.5

Florida Atlantic Owls: A Deep Dive into Their Upcoming Game

Offensive Overview

Florida Atlantic’s offense currently ranks 58th in points scored with a total of 91. The passing game stands out with 980 yards, placing them 45th. However, the rushing attack has been less effective, tallying only 405 yards, which ranks them 112th.

The Owls have demonstrated a consistent ability to move the chains, as evidenced by their 81 first downs, ranking them 28th. This indicates a balanced approach to sustaining drives, despite the struggles in the running game.

Defensive Analysis

On defense, Florida Atlantic has conceded 91 points, placing them 61st. They have been effective in getting to the quarterback, recording 3 sacks and ranking 15th.

However, turnovers have been scarce with only one fumble recovered and no interceptions, which ranks them 5th and 1st, respectively. This could indicate a need for more aggressive playmaking on the defensive side.

Recent Game Performance

Florida Atlantic is coming off a 38-28 loss to Florida International. In that game, they managed 343 passing yards and 135 rushing yards, showing a strong aerial attack but an underwhelming ground game.

The Owls also demonstrated a solid ability to gain first downs with 24 compared to Florida International’s 17. Despite this, turnovers proved costly, with three interceptions thrown.

Key Players

Quarterback Caden Veltkamp has been a bright spot with 880 passing yards and 8 touchdowns, both leading the team. His performance will be crucial in the upcoming games.

On the receiving end, Easton Messer has caught 28 passes for 232 yards, leading the team in receptions. Asaad Waseem is also a significant contributor with 144 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

Upcoming Game Outlook

The Owls will play at home against the Memphis Tigers. They are 13.5-point underdogs, indicating a challenging matchup ahead.

Playing at Flagler Credit Union Stadium might provide some home-field advantage, but they will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on offensive opportunities to succeed.

Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Trends

  • O/U – Home Games: 4-0 in last 4 games (100%)
  • SU – As Favorite: 3-0 in last 3 games (100%)
  • O/U – After Loss: 3-0 in last 3 games (100%)
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 6-1 in last 7 games (85.7%)
  • O/U – All Games: 10-3 in last 13 games (76.9%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: 8-2 in last 10 games (80%)

Memphis Tigers Set to Roar: A Look at Their Upcoming Game

Offensive Strengths

The Memphis Tigers have demonstrated a solid offensive performance this season, ranking 13th nationally in rushing yards with 950 yards. Their ability to move the chains is evident as they have secured 93 first downs, placing them 18th overall. This offensive prowess has contributed to their ranking as the 22nd highest-scoring team with 143 points so far this season.

Quarterback Brendon Lewis has been a key factor in the Tigers’ offensive success, throwing for 807 yards in four games. Although his passing touchdowns are limited to three, his effectiveness in managing the game and avoiding turnovers is crucial. The offensive line has provided ample protection, allowing the rushing attack to thrive.

Defensive Resilience

Defensively, the Tigers have shown a formidable front with 10 sacks, ranking 8th in the nation. Their ability to create turnovers is notable, with six interceptions ranking 7th and one fumble recovery placing them 5th. This defensive capability has kept opposing offenses in check, allowing just 64 points against them, ranking them 40th in the nation.

The Memphis secondary has been a force, capitalizing on mistakes and maintaining tight coverage. Their pressure on quarterbacks has led to critical interceptions, often shifting the momentum in their favor. The defensive line’s performance is complemented by an aggressive linebacker corps that excels in both pass rush and run defense.

Key Players to Watch

Sutton Smith has been a standout performer in the Tigers’ backfield, amassing 394 rushing yards, which places him 13th nationally. His five rushing touchdowns have been instrumental in Memphis’ offensive success. Wide receiver Cortez Braham Jr. leads the receiving corps with 255 yards and two touchdowns, providing a reliable target for Lewis.

On defense, the Tigers are bolstered by a talented group of linebackers and defensive backs. Their ability to anticipate plays and execute tackles efficiently has been a cornerstone of their defensive strategy. This unit’s cohesion and discipline will be essential as they prepare for their upcoming away game.

Recent Game Highlights

In their most recent game, the Tigers pulled off a nail-biting 32-31 victory against Arkansas. This win showcased their offensive flexibility, with 294 rushing yards playing a pivotal role. The Tigers’ defense also held strong, despite allowing 325 passing yards from Arkansas.

Prior to that, Memphis demonstrated their dominance against Troy with a 28-7 win, where their defense limited the Trojans to just 72 passing yards. These performances illustrate the Tigers’ capability to adapt their strategy based on their opponents’ strengths and weaknesses.

Betting Trends

  • As Favorites: 27-3 SU in the last 30 games (90.0%)
  • Totals ≥ 50: 19-2 SU in the last 21 games (90.5%)
  • Home Games: 9-0 SU in the last 9 games (100.0%)
  • All Games: 19-3 SU in the last 22 games (86.4%)
  • After Win: 6-0 SU in the last 6 games (100.0%)
  • All Games ATS: 6-0 in the last 6 games (100.0%)

Florida Atlantic vs Memphis Prediction: Florida Atlantic +13.5

Memphis has shown strong performance this season with a perfect 4-0 record, including a solid road performance. Their offensive unit has been particularly effective, ranking 13th in rushing yards which has contributed significantly to their success. However, their defensive ranking of 40th in points against may leave them vulnerable to a team with a potent home offense like Florida Atlantic.

Florida Atlantic, despite a 1-2 record, has performed well at home, going undefeated in their only home game this season. Their offense has been effective through the air, ranking 45th in passing yards, which could challenge a Memphis defense that is not in the top tier for points allowed. Moreover, Florida Atlantic’s strong track record against the spread as a home underdog highlights their ability to keep games close.

Considering Florida Atlantic’s recent performance trends, particularly their success in covering the spread at home, they have the potential to stay within the 13.5-point margin set by oddsmakers. Their ability to score and their home-field advantage could keep the game competitive against a Memphis team that might overlook their defensive vulnerabilities.

In conclusion, backing Florida Atlantic +13.5 seems a prudent choice. While Memphis is the likely winner, Florida Atlantic’s ability to perform at home suggests they will keep the scoreline tight and cover the spread.

  • Florida Atlantic vs Memphis Prediction: Florida Atlantic +13.5
  • Florida Atlantic vs Memphis Score: Memphis 35 – Florida Atlantic 27
To Top