In an AFC East matchup, the New York Jets will travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Both teams are in search of their first win of the 2025 season, with each holding a 0-3 record. This Monday night game promises a competitive battle as both teams aim to end their losing streaks.
The Jets, led by head coach Aaron Glenn, have struggled in their opening games. Despite narrow losses, including a 29-27 defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the team looks to capitalize on their recent performances. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor and wide receiver Garrett Wilson are key offensive players to watch.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins, under head coach Mike McDaniel, are eager to turn their fortunes around. After a recent 31-21 loss against the Buffalo Bills, Miami hopes to leverage their home-field advantage. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Tyreek Hill will be vital for the Dolphins’ offense.
Dolphins vs Jets At a Glance
- Game Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL USA — Outdoor Field
- Game Date and Time: Monday, September 29, 2025 at 7:15 PM (Night Game)
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Weather Forecast: No description available
- Jets Record: 0-3-0 in the 2025 Regular Season
- Dolphins Record: 0-3-0 in the 2025 Regular Season
Miami Dolphins: Analyzing the Road Ahead
Offensive Overview
The Miami Dolphins’ offensive unit has faced challenges this season, ranking 21st in overall scoring with 345 points. Their passing game stands at 15th with 3,737 yards, indicating moderate success through the air. However, their rushing attack ranks 20th with 1,795 yards, showing room for improvement on the ground.
Despite a strong showing from quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who has passed for 575 yards over three games, the team’s third-down conversion rate remains at 36.3%, ranked 21st. This indicates the Dolphins need to capitalize more effectively on third-down opportunities to sustain drives.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, the Dolphins have shown prowess by allowing just 364 points, ranking them 10th in opponent scoring. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks is evident with 35 sacks, ranking 14th in the league. Additionally, Miami’s defense has recorded 10 interceptions, placing them 10th in the league for this category.
Furthermore, the Dolphins’ defense is strong at recovering fumbles with six recoveries, ranking 9th overall. They have also limited opponents to 5,344 offensive yards, which ranks 4th, showcasing their capability to stifle opposing offenses.
Recent Game Performances
In their recent outing against the Buffalo Bills, the Dolphins were outperformed, resulting in a 31-21 loss. Despite the loss, Tua Tagovailoa had a notable performance with 146 passing yards and two touchdowns, though the team struggled on third downs.
The previous matchup against the New England Patriots ended in a 33-27 defeat. The Dolphins showcased a strong passing game with 297 yards but were let down by their rushing game, managing only 61 yards. The Dolphins’ defense allowed 122 rushing yards, highlighting a potential area of concern.
Key Player Contributions
Tua Tagovailoa remains a central figure for the Dolphins, leading the team with 575 passing yards and five touchdowns through three games. Wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 352 receiving yards and three touchdowns, providing critical targets downfield.
Running back De’Von Achane, though ranked 23rd with 147 rushing yards, has been a versatile option with 141 receiving yards. However, the Dolphins will need more balanced offensive contributions to ensure future success.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – As Favorite (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- O/U – As Favorite (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 14 REG Games (2024–2025) → 9-5 (64.3%)
The New York Jets: Can They Soar Past the Dolphins?
Offensive Challenges
The New York Jets’ offense is currently ranked 23rd in scoring with a total of 338 points in the last regular season. Their passing game is somewhat stronger, ranked 16th with 3,714 yards, while their rushing attack struggles at 30th with just 1,561 yards.
Recent games highlight the Jets’ offensive woes, particularly against the Buffalo Bills, where they managed only 54 passing yards. Consistency in the quarterback position remains a challenge, as both Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields have been sharing duties.
Defensive Standouts
Defensively, the Jets are more formidable, ranking 3rd in opponent offensive yards with 5,334 allowed. They have managed to accumulate 43 sacks, placing them at 7th in the league, showing their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks.
The defense has been instrumental in keeping games close, but the offense needs to capitalize on the opportunities created. Recovering 10 fumbles and intercepting 7 passes, the Jets are opportunistic, ranking 5th and 12th respectively in these categories.
Key Player Performances
Garrett Wilson has been a reliable target in the passing game, leading the team with 21 receptions and 229 yards over three games. Breece Hall shows promise on the ground but has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season.
On the defensive side, players like Quincy Williams have shown their ability to disrupt offenses, recording multiple tackles and contributing to the team’s sack total. However, his recent injury might impact the Jets’ defensive effectiveness.
Injury Concerns
The Jets are dealing with significant injury issues, with key players like Justin Fields and Sauce Gardner listed as questionable. This adds uncertainty to both their offensive and defensive capabilities for the upcoming game.
Injuries to players on the injured reserve list, such as Quincy Williams and Kris Boyd, mean the Jets will rely on their depth to fill these gaps. The status of these players will be critical in determining the Jets’ competitiveness against Miami.
Upcoming Game Outlook
Facing the Miami Dolphins, the Jets are 3.0-point underdogs, a reflection of their recent struggles. Playing away at Hard Rock Stadium, the Jets will need to overcome both their offensive inconsistencies and injury issues.
The Dolphins will pose a significant challenge, particularly if the Jets cannot establish a more balanced offensive attack. Improving their third-down conversion rate, currently 14th in the league, will be crucial for sustaining drives.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 7-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 7-1 (87.5%)
- ATS – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction: Dolphins -2.5
The Miami Dolphins, playing at home, are currently 2.5-point favorites against the New York Jets. Despite both teams having identical 0-3 records, the Dolphins’ previous performance as favorites against the spread (ATS) stands at 5-1 in their last six regular season games. This indicates a strong tendency to cover when favored, making them a favorable pick.
On the other hand, the Jets have had a challenging season with a 0-3 record, including a loss against a division rival. Their road struggles are evident with a 0-1 record, making it difficult to trust them in this situation. Additionally, their offense has been lackluster, ranking 23rd in scoring last season, which could be a major issue on the road against the Dolphins.
Miami’s defensive stats from the previous season, including a 10th rank in opponent scoring, suggest they can limit the Jets’ offensive output. Coupled with Miami’s 83.3% ATS record as favorites, the Dolphins appear well-positioned to cover the spread. Playing at Hard Rock Stadium should provide an additional advantage, allowing them to secure their first win of the season.
With both teams looking to break their losing streaks, expect the Dolphins to leverage their home-field advantage and betting trends to edge out the Jets. The projected final score supports Miami covering the 2.5-point spread.
- Dolphins vs Jets Prediction: Dolphins -2.5
- Dolphins vs Jets Score: Dolphins 27 – Jets 20
