The Dallas Cowboys will host the Washington Commanders in a Week 7 NFC East showdown at AT&T Stadium. The game kicks off at 4:25 PM on Sunday, October 19, 2025, and will be broadcasted on FOX. Both teams will look to improve their divisional records as they vie for a key win in a competitive NFC East.
The Washington Commanders enter the game with a 3-3 record, recently falling to the Chicago Bears in a close 25-24 game. Head Coach Dan Quinn and his staff will aim to capitalize on their strong offensive performances earlier this season, such as their 27-10 victory over the Chargers. With a 1-2 record on the road, the Commanders will look to overcome their away challenges against the Cowboys.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys stand at 2-3-1, coming off a narrow 30-27 loss to the Carolina Panthers. Under the leadership of Head Coach Brian Schottenheimer, the Cowboys have maintained an undefeated home record of 1-0-1. They will seek to leverage this home-field advantage and their powerful offensive lineup to topple the Commanders in this critical divisional game.
Cowboys vs Commanders At a Glance
- Game Date & Time: Sunday, October 19, 2025, at 4:25 PM
- Stadium: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, featuring a retractable roof
- TV Channel: FOX
- Weather: Conditions are not expected to impact play due to the retractable roof
- Washington Commanders Record: 3-3-0 this season
- Dallas Cowboys Record: 2-3-1 this season
The Dallas Cowboys Prepare for a Crucial Game Against the Commanders
Offensive Strengths and Challenges
The Dallas Cowboys have demonstrated a powerful passing game, ranking 11th in the league with 3,862 passing yards in the last regular season. This is largely attributed to Dak Prescott, who ranks 2nd in passing yards and touchdowns in the league. However, their rushing offense has been less impressive, ranking 26th with 1,705 rushing yards, indicating a need for improvement on the ground.
Despite some inconsistencies, the Cowboys have shown potential in their scoring ability, amassing 350 points, positioning them 20th overall. Their ability to secure first downs ranks 16th, showcasing their ability to maintain drives. However, they have room to improve their third-down conversion rate, currently sitting at 36.8%, ranked 20th in the league.
Defensive Capabilities and Areas for Improvement
On the defensive side, the Cowboys excel in pressuring the quarterback, recording 52 sacks, which is the 3rd best in the league. They have also shown an ability to create turnovers, ranking 7th with 13 interceptions. Their defensive line’s ability to recover fumbles has been a highlight, securing 9 recoveries and ranking 6th.
However, the Cowboys have struggled to contain opposing offenses, allowing 6,039 yards and ranking 28th in this category. Their ability to limit scoring is another area of concern, as they rank 28th after conceding 468 points. Addressing these defensive weaknesses will be crucial in upcoming games.
Recent Game Performances
In their recent game against the Carolina Panthers, the Cowboys fell short in a close 30-27 loss, despite a strong performance from Dak Prescott with 261 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Their rushing game was ineffective, gaining only 31 yards. On the defensive side, they struggled to contain the Panthers, who gained 216 rushing yards.
Previously, the Cowboys secured a 37-22 victory over the New York Jets, with Prescott throwing for 237 yards and 4 touchdowns. The rushing attack was more effective in this game, amassing 180 yards. This game showcased their potential when both the passing and rushing games click.
Injury Concerns
The Cowboys are dealing with several injuries that could impact their performance. Notably, Malik Hooker and Miles Sanders are on the injured reserve list, with Sanders out for the season. CeeDee Lamb and KaVontae Turpin are questionable for the upcoming game, potentially affecting their receiving options.
Other key players like Marshawn Kneeland and Ajani Cornelius are also questionable, which could affect both the defensive line and the offensive line’s effectiveness. Managing these injuries will be crucial for the Cowboys as they prepare for their next game.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 10 REG Games (2024–2025) → 7-3 (70.0%)
The Commanders Prepare for a New Battle: Washington Commanders Analysis
Offensive Strength
The Washington Commanders have displayed a potent offense this season, ranking 5th in overall score with 485 points. Their rushing attack stands out, ranking 3rd with 2,619 rushing yards, providing them a formidable ground game.
While their passing game ranks 17th with 3,665 yards, it complements their offensive strategy effectively. The team also ranks 4th in first downs and shows a strong conversion rate on third downs, at 45.6%, ranked 6th.
Defensive Standpoint
On the defensive side, the Commanders have been solid, ranking 7th in sacks with 43. They have managed to recover 10 fumbles, ranking 5th in this category.
However, they are placed 17th in opponent score with 391 points allowed and 13th in opponent offensive yards. This indicates room for improvement in containing opposing offenses.
Recent Performance
The Commanders recently experienced a narrow loss to the Chicago Bears, 25-24, despite achieving more first downs and passing yards. Earlier, they had a decisive 27-10 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers, showcasing their ability to dominate both the ground and aerial games.
In their game against the Atlanta Falcons, they faced a high-scoring encounter but fell short, losing 34-27. They bounced back against the Las Vegas Raiders with a commanding 41-24 win, highlighting their resilience and offensive capabilities.
Key Players
Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a pivotal player, with a total of 875 passing yards and 7 touchdowns. Running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the rushing attack with 344 yards and 4 touchdowns.
Wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. has been a significant threat in the air, securing 315 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has also contributed with 192 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS – As Favorite (REG): Last 10 REG Games (2024–2025) → 9-1 (90.0%)
- ATS – After Loss (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- SU – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-1 (85.7%)
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-1-1 (75.0%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- SU – All Games (REG): Last 11 REG Games (2024–2025) → 8-3 (72.7%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
- ATS – All Games (REG): Last 15 REG Games (2024–2025) → 10-5 (66.7%)
- O/U – As Favorite (REG): Last 10 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-3-1 (60.0%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
- SU – After Win (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-3 (62.5%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 15 REG Games (2024–2025) → 8-6-1 (53.3%)
- ATS – After Win (REG): Last 9 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-4 (55.6%)
- SU – Away Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-3 (57.1%)
- ATS – Away Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-3 (57.1%)
- O/U – After Win (REG): Last 9 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-4-1 (44.4%)
- SU – As Underdog (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-2 (50.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-2 (50.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction: Cowboys +1.5
In this week 7 matchup, the Dallas Cowboys are slight underdogs at home with a spread of +1.5. Given their strong track record against the spread as underdogs in recent games, going 3-0 in their last three, there is considerable value in backing them to cover. Playing at home in AT&T Stadium, where they are unbeaten this season, should provide an additional edge.
The Washington Commanders have had mixed results on the road this season, with a 1-2 record. Their inconsistent performance outside their home stadium could play to the Cowboys’ advantage. Moreover, the Cowboys have demonstrated resilience after losses, with a 3-1 record against the spread following a defeat.
Defensively, the Cowboys boast a formidable pass rush, ranking 3rd in sacks last season, which could disrupt the Commanders’ offensive plans. The Commanders’ offense, while ranked 5th in scoring last season, might face challenges against a Dallas defense that has shown flashes of dominance, especially at home.
Considering these factors, the Dallas Cowboys +1.5 appears to be the favorable pick. With a close game expected, the Cowboys have the potential to secure a victory or at least cover the spread in front of their home crowd.
- Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction: Cowboys +1.5
- Cowboys vs Commanders Score: Cowboys 28 – Commanders 24
