NFL Game Prediction

Commanders vs Raiders Prediction & Betting Tips for NFL Week 3 on 9/21/2025

Want our best Commanders vs Raiders prediction for NFL week 3 on 9/21/25? Get our NFL betting tip as the Las Vegas Raiders travel to the Washington Commanders on 9/21/25 at Northwest Stadium, in Washington. Knup Sports has your free pick!

In Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season, the Las Vegas Raiders will visit the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium. This afternoon game kicks off on September 21, 2025, at 1:00 PM. Fans can catch the action on FOX, with overcast clouds expected to accompany a mild day in Landover, MD. The Raiders, under the guidance of head coach Pete Carroll, have had a mixed start to the season with a 1-1-0 record. They had a solid win against the New England Patriots but fell short at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Raiders will be looking to leverage their road success as they take on the Commanders. Meanwhile, the Commanders, led by head coach Dan Quinn, also hold a 1-1-0 record. After a dominant home victory against the New York Giants, they faced a setback in Green Bay. With a perfect home record so far, the Commanders will aim to maintain their momentum at Northwest Stadium.

Commanders vs Raiders At a Glance

  • Game Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM (Afternoon Game)
  • Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD USA — Outdoor Field
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Weather Forecast: Mild day with a light breeze, and conditions described as ‘Overcast Clouds’.
  • Las Vegas Raiders Record: 1-1-0 (1-0-0 on the road)
  • Washington Commanders Record: 1-1-0 (1-0-0 at home)

Washington Commanders Prepare to Host the Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Offense Overview

The Las Vegas Raiders are set to test the Washington Commanders’ defense in their upcoming game. The Raiders’ offense has shown promise, especially in the passing game. Their ability to stretch the field could pose challenges for the Commanders’ secondary.

Las Vegas has relied heavily on their quarterback to lead the charge, demonstrating strong pocket presence and passing accuracy. The effectiveness of their ground game remains a point of focus, as it can open up passing opportunities if executed well.

Key Offensive Players

The Raiders’ quarterback has been instrumental in driving their offensive success, making smart decisions under pressure. Complementing him is a receiving corps that excels at finding seams in the defense.

The running back position, while not the centerpiece of their offense, provides crucial support. The Raiders’ running backs are adept at exploiting holes and gaining significant yardage, adding another dimension to their attack.

Raiders Defensive Strategy

Defensively, the Raiders are prepared to face the Commanders’ high-powered offense. Their defensive line aims to put consistent pressure on the quarterback to disrupt passing plays.

In the secondary, the Raiders’ cornerbacks and safeties are tasked with minimizing big plays. Their ability to cover the Commanders’ receivers effectively will be key in containing the offensive onslaught.

Team Betting Trends

  • ATS – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 4 REG Games → 2-2 (50.0%)
  • SU – After Loss (REG): Last 4 REG Games → 2-2 (50.0%)
  • O/U – Away Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games → 2-4 (33.3%)
  • SU – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games → 1-2 (33.3%)

Las Vegas Raiders Ready for Battle: Raiders Eye Success on the Road

Offensive Struggles

The Las Vegas Raiders offense has struggled to find consistency, ranking 27th in scoring with just 309 points during the last regular season. Their passing game shows promise with 3,797 yards, ranking 13th, but the ground game has been a major area of concern, ranking 31st with only 1,357 rushing yards.

The Raiders’ third-down conversion rate stands at 34.8%, placing them 26th, indicating room for improvement in sustaining drives. Despite these struggles, they have some key offensive playmakers, including Geno Smith, who threw for 542 yards in the first two games of the current season.

Defensive Analysis

Defensively, the Raiders have faced their own challenges, ranking 24th in points allowed with 434 points against them in the last regular season. However, their ability to pressure quarterbacks is notable, with 38 sacks placing them 11th in the league.

The Raiders’ defense also showcases its ability to force turnovers, ranking 10th with 10 interceptions and recovering 3 fumbles. Yet, they allow 5,663 opponent offensive yards, which ranks 15th, emphasizing the need for better containment.

Recent Performances

In Week 2 of the 2025 season, the Raiders struggled against the Los Angeles Chargers, losing 20-9 at home. Geno Smith threw for 180 yards but also had 3 interceptions, impacting the Raiders’ offensive rhythm.

Week 1 offered a more positive outcome, as the Raiders defeated the New England Patriots 20-13. Smith led the charge with 362 passing yards and 1 touchdown, while the defense limited the Patriots to 18 first downs and 276 passing yards.

Key Players to Watch

Jakobi Meyers has emerged as a reliable target, leading the team with 14 receptions for 165 yards over two games. Tight end Brock Bowers has also contributed, with 10 receptions for 141 yards.

On the ground, Ashton Jeanty leads with 81 rushing yards and 1 touchdown. Despite limited success in rushing, Jeanty has shown potential, and his performance will be crucial against the Washington Commanders.

Team Betting Trends

  • O/U – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024) → 4-2 (66.7%)
  • O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 13 REG Games (2024–2025) → 7-6 (53.8%)
  • SU – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • ATS – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • SU – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • ATS – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • SU – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024) → 2-1 (66.7%)
  • ATS – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024) → 2-1 (66.7%)

Commanders vs Raiders Prediction: Commanders -3.5

The Washington Commanders are playing at home, where they have been particularly strong, holding a 1-0 record this season. Historically, they have excelled against the spread (ATS) as favorites, with a remarkable 11-0 record in their last 11 regular-season games. This makes them a strong contender to cover the -3.5 spread against the Raiders.

The Las Vegas Raiders, under the new leadership of Head Coach Pete Carroll, have struggled on the road in the past. While they did secure a road win this season, their overall offensive and defensive ranks from last season indicate potential vulnerabilities that the Commanders can exploit. These factors contribute to the likelihood of the Commanders covering the spread.

Offensively, the Commanders ranked fifth in scoring last season, showcasing their ability to put points on the board. Their home advantage, coupled with strong offensive stats, supports the prediction that they will outperform the Raiders. Additionally, the Raiders’ defense ranked 24th in opponent scoring last season, making it challenging for them to contain the Commanders’ offensive prowess.

Given these considerations, the Commanders are in a strong position to cover the -3.5 spread. The home-field advantage, combined with their effective offensive strategies and Raiders’ defensive struggles, align with a projected final score of Commanders 27 – Raiders 20.

  • Commanders vs Raiders Prediction: Commanders -3.5
  • Commanders vs Raiders Score: Commanders 27 – Raiders 20
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