The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds are set for an evening game at the Great American Ball Park on September 5, 2025. The Mets hold a record of 75-65 and are ranked second in their division, while the Reds sit at 70-70, placing them third in their division. Both teams are coming off losses, with the Mets recently losing to the Detroit Tigers and the Reds falling to the Toronto Blue Jays.
The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, have shown a mix of strong performances and setbacks in recent games, evidenced by a 6-4 record in their last ten outings. With a road record of 30-38, they will be looking to improve their away performance against the Reds. Key players like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have been instrumental in their recent games, contributing significantly to their offensive efforts.
The Reds, led by Terry Francona, are facing challenges with a 3-7 record in their last ten games and a two-game losing streak. Despite these challenges, they have maintained a home record of 38-33, which could play in their favor during this matchup. Weather conditions are expected to be warm with scattered clouds, providing a pleasant setting for a competitive game under the lights.
Reds vs Mets At a Glance
- Game Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH.
- Weather Forecast: Scattered clouds with a light breeze.
- New York Mets Record: 75-65, currently 2nd in NL East.
- Cincinnati Reds Record: 70-70, currently 3rd in NL Central.
- Broadcast Information: The game will be televised on FDSOH.
- Betting Odds: Mets are favored with a moneyline of -126; Reds’ moneyline is +107.
Reds Prepare for Critical Game Against Mets
New York Mets Lineup and Key Players
The New York Mets come into this game with their eyes set on the playoff race, holding a slight edge over the Cincinnati Reds in the wild card standings. With David Peterson leading the charge on the mound, the Mets have a reliable starter who boasts a 3.61 ERA and a WHIP of 1.31. Peterson’s consistency has been a cornerstone for the Mets, providing them with confidence as they face a crucial series.
Offensively, the Mets have relied on a balanced attack throughout the season. The lineup features several consistent hitters who have been able to deliver in key situations. This balance in their batting order has been a significant factor in their competitive standing in the league.
David Peterson’s Impact
David Peterson has been a standout performer for the Mets this season, with an 8-5 record. His ability to keep opposing hitters off balance and limit base runners has been instrumental in his success. His performance against the Reds will be critical in setting the tone for the series.
Peterson’s strong WHIP of 1.31 indicates his effectiveness in controlling games by minimizing walks and hits. His focus will be on maintaining this control against a Reds lineup that has shown the capability to score in bunches.
Mets’ Batting Strategy
The Mets’ offensive strategy revolves around consistent contact and capitalizing on opportunities. With key players contributing across the lineup, they have been able to manufacture runs efficiently. Their approach will be to challenge Reds’ starter Andrew Abbott, who has been formidable on the mound.
Their lineup’s depth allows them to create scoring chances throughout the order, making them a tough opponent for any pitching staff. This will be a test for the Reds’ pitchers, who need to be on their game to limit the Mets’ offensive output.
Betting Trends for the Mets
- SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU in Away Games: 33-37 (47.1%)
- Runline as Underdog: 29-28 (50.9%)
- O/U as Favorite: 25-33 (43.1%)
New York Mets Aim for a Strong Finish Against the Reds
Offensive Consistency
The Cincinnati Reds have displayed a solid offensive performance this season, ranking 7th in batting average with a .251 mark. Their on-base percentage stands at .329, placing them 3rd, which indicates a strong ability to reach base and set up scoring opportunities.
They also boast a slugging percentage of .431, ranking 5th, which highlights their power at the plate. With 193 home runs, the Reds rank 6th, showing that they can consistently clear the fences and score in bunches.
Dynamic Duo: Key Players to Watch
On the offensive side, the Reds have relied heavily on a few key players to drive in runs. Their lineup features powerful sluggers who have been crucial to their success. These players will look to capitalize on any pitching mistakes made by the Mets.
With 231 doubles, the Reds rank 7th, showcasing their ability to hit for extra bases. Their 497 walks, ranking 4th, demonstrate patience and discipline at the plate, forcing opposing pitchers to work hard for outs.
Stealing Bases and Strikeout Concerns
Speed on the base paths is another weapon for the Reds, as they have stolen 125 bases, ranking 5th. This ability to swipe bases can disrupt pitchers’ rhythms and create scoring opportunities out of seemingly innocuous situations.
However, the Reds do have a vulnerability when it comes to strikeouts, having been struck out 1,114 times, ranking 7th. This suggests that while they have power, they can be prone to swinging and missing, which the Mets’ pitching staff will look to exploit.
Pitching Strengths and Weaknesses
The Reds’ pitching staff has an ERA of 3.93, placing them 14th, which indicates they have a serviceable rotation. However, their batting average against is .243, ranked 12th, suggesting they do allow some contact from opposing hitters.
They have given up 125 home runs, ranking 2nd, which highlights a potential issue with keeping the ball in the park. Their 35 quality starts rank 19th, pointing to inconsistencies in getting deep into games with strong performances.
Team Betting Trends
- Overall, the Reds have struggled recently, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
- They are five games back of the third wild card spot, indicating they need a strong finish to make the playoffs.
- Their performance against the Mets will be crucial in determining their postseason fate.
Reds vs Mets Prediction: ‘Under 9.0’
The game between the New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park features two competent starting pitchers. David Peterson for the Mets holds an ERA of 3.61, and Andrew Abbott for the Reds boasts an even lower ERA of 2.65. Both pitchers have shown the capability to keep scoring to a minimum, suggesting a tighter contest than the run line implies.
With Cincinnati’s offensive struggles and recent trends, the Reds have gone 6-4 to the under in their last ten games. Their overall batting average ranks 17th in slugging percentage, indicating they may find it challenging to push runs across against effective pitching.
The Mets’ offense has been somewhat inconsistent despite their overall competitive record. Moreover, given that Francisco Alvarez is just returning from injury, his impact on the Mets’ lineup might not be immediate, which can contribute to a lower-scoring game.
The combination of strong pitching and inconsistent offense from both teams leads to the expectation of a low-scoring game. Thus, the smart pick is on the game going under 9.0 runs.
- Reds vs Mets Prediction: Under 9.0
- Reds vs Mets Score: Mets 4 – Reds 3
