CFB Game Prediction

Bowling Green vs Liberty Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 3 on 9/13/2025

Want our best Bowling Green vs Liberty prediction for 9/13/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Liberty travel to Bowling Green in Week 3 on 9/13/25 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, in Bowling Green. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

The Liberty Flames are set to meet the Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH, during Week 3 of the 2025 regular season. Scheduled for a Saturday afternoon game on September 13th, this matchup will be broadcast on ESPN+. Both teams enter with a 1-1 record, adding intrigue to the contest. The Liberty Flames, representing Conference USA, are coming off a road loss against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, where they fell 34-24. The Flames demonstrated strong passing with 315 yards but struggled defensively against the run. Their earlier home victory over the Maine Black Bears showcased a more balanced attack. On the other side, the Bowling Green Falcons from the Mid-American Conference also hold a 1-1 record. They are coming off a defeat at the hands of the Cincinnati Bearcats, losing 34-20. The Falcons opened their season with a strong home performance, securing a 26-7 win over the Lafayette Leopards, marked by a solid rushing game and stout defense.

Bowling Green vs Liberty At a Glance

  • Game Timing: Saturday, September 13, 2025, at 5:00 PM
  • Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Liberty Flames Record: 1-1 this season, 0-1 on the road
  • Bowling Green Falcons Record: 1-1 this season, 1-0 at home
  • Game Odds: Liberty is favored with a -230 moneyline

Bowling Green Falcons: A Look Ahead in the 2025 Season

Offensive Outlook

The Bowling Green Falcons have been putting in the work offensively, ranking 47th with 46 points for this season. Their passing game ranks 82nd with 383 yards, while their rushing effort stands at 85th with 256 yards. The team has also achieved 38 first downs, placing them 26th in this category.

Despite the moderate rankings, the Falcons’ offense has shown the potential to improve. The diverse set of players contributing to both passing and rushing yards is a positive sign for future games.

Defensive Stand

Defensively, the Falcons are ranked 31st in points against, allowing 41 points so far. The team has been aggressive in the backfield, achieving 3 sacks, ranking them 8th. However, they have yet to secure an interception this season.

While the defense has shown strength in certain areas, such as fumbles recovered, there is room for improvement in intercepting the ball and minimizing points against.

Recent Performances

The Falcons began their season on a high note with a 26-7 victory over the Lafayette Leopards. In this game, they dominated in rushing with 158 yards compared to Lafayette’s 61. However, they faced a setback against Cincinnati Bearcats, losing 34-20 despite achieving more first downs.

This mixed start highlights the team’s potential and areas needing improvement, particularly in maintaining consistency in both offense and defense.

Player Contributions

Quarterback Drew Pyne has been pivotal, accumulating 383 passing yards in two games. On the rushing side, Cameron Pettaway leads with 107 yards, supported by Mar’Kel Porter’s 19 yards and two touchdowns.

Wide receiver Finn Hogan has contributed 78 receiving yards, while tight end Jyrin Johnson has impressed with 102 receiving yards and a touchdown. These individual performances are vital for the team’s overall success.

Injury Concerns

The Falcons have a few players listed as questionable due to undisclosed injuries, including key positions like running back and defensive tackle. This uncertainty could impact their performance in upcoming games.

Monitoring these injuries and managing player fitness will be crucial for Bowling Green as they advance through the season.

Upcoming Schedule

The Falcons are set to play the Liberty Flames at home, followed by an away game against the Louisville Cardinals. These matchups will test their abilities both offensively and defensively.

With strategic adjustments and strong performances from key players, the Falcons can capitalize on these opportunities to enhance their season record.

Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
  • ATS Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
  • O/U Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
  • SU as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)

Liberty Flames Gear Up for Battle Against the Bowling Green Falcons

Offensive Performance

The Bowling Green Falcons enter the upcoming game with a focus on improving their offensive execution. In recent seasons, their passing and rushing games have shown potential, yet consistency remains a key challenge.

The Falcons’ quarterback play will be pivotal, as a strong aerial attack can open up opportunities on the ground. The offensive line’s ability to protect and create lanes will be crucial to their overall success.

Defensive Strategy

Defensively, the Falcons aim to sharpen their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks. In previous outings, the defense has showcased moments of resilience, but maintaining pressure throughout the game will be essential.

Secondary play will also be a focus, as limiting big plays through the air is critical to their game plan. The defensive line’s contribution to stopping the run will play a significant role in controlling the game’s tempo.

Key Players to Watch

Bowling Green’s offensive arsenal features players capable of game-changing plays. Their standout running back has demonstrated explosiveness, providing both speed and power to the offense.

On defense, their linebacker corps will be tasked with leading the charge. Their ability to read plays and react quickly will be vital in containing Liberty’s multifaceted attack.

Coaching Influence

The coaching staff’s strategic adjustments will be under the microscope as they prepare for the Flames. A well-devised game plan that capitalizes on Liberty’s weaknesses can tip the scales in their favor.

In-game decision-making and halftime adjustments could be the difference-maker in what is expected to be a competitive contest.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends

  • SU in Away Games: 0-1 (0.0%)
  • ATS in Away Games: 0-1 (0.0%)
  • O/U in Away Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • SU After a Loss: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS After a Loss: 1-0 (100.0%)

Bowling Green vs Liberty Prediction: Liberty -6.5

The Liberty Flames enter this game with a 1-1 record, looking to bounce back after their recent loss. Despite their road struggles, the Flames have showcased strong offensive capabilities, ranking 41st in points scored and 43rd in passing yards. Their defensive prowess, notably in sacks and interceptions, can help control the pace against Bowling Green.

Bowling Green has also started the season 1-1 but has shown vulnerabilities, especially on the road. Though their home record is perfect, they have yet to prove consistency against stronger opponents like Liberty. The spread of -6.5 in favor of Liberty at -111 odds is reasonable given their higher offensive rankings and past head-to-head success.

Both teams share the same overall and home/road records, but Liberty’s balanced attack and defensive strengths give them an edge. Bowling Green’s ATS trends at home are favorable, but Liberty’s recent road and overall performance suggest they can cover the spread. The Flames’ ability to generate pressure and turnovers might be the deciding factor.

Given these factors, Liberty has the potential to come out on top by more than a touchdown, leading to a projected final score. Expect the Flames to win with a score of 34-24, covering the spread against Bowling Green.

  • Bowling Green vs Liberty Prediction: Liberty -6.5
  • Bowling Green vs Liberty Score: Liberty 34 – Bowling Green 24
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