CFB Game Prediction

Boston College vs California Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 5 on 9/27/2025

Want our best Boston College vs California prediction for 9/27/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the California travel to Boston College in Week 5 on 9/27/25 at Alumni Stadium (MA), in Boston College. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 5 of the 2025 Regular Season, the California Golden Bears travel to Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, MA, to play against the Boston College Eagles. The Golden Bears, currently holding a 3-1 record, aim to improve their performance on the road after a recent loss to the San Diego State Aztecs. With an even split between wins and losses in away games this season, California looks to secure a crucial victory.

The Boston College Eagles hold a 1-2 record coming into this game, with their sole win at home against Fordham Rams in Week 1. Despite recent away losses to Stanford and Michigan State, the Eagles hope to capitalize on their home-field advantage. Their performance at Alumni Stadium has been strong, and they aim to maintain their winning streak on home turf.

The odds reflect a competitive game, with Boston College favored at a -229 moneyline and a -6.5 point spread. California’s recent struggles on the road may impact their performance, yet their season victories suggest they could challenge the Eagles effectively. Both teams are eager to strengthen their standings within the Atlantic Coast Conference, making this an important game for both sides.

Boston College vs California At a Glance

  • Game Location: Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, MA
  • Game Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 3:30 PM
  • TV Broadcast: ACCN
  • California Record: 3-1 overall, 1-1 on the road
  • Boston College Record: 1-2 overall, 1-0 at home
  • Betting Odds: California +189, Boston College -229

Boston College Eagles Set to Soar Against Next Opponent

Offensive Performance

The Boston College Eagles have demonstrated a strong offensive capability this season, ranking 18th in passing yards with 1,181 yards. Despite their high passing yardage, their rushing game has struggled, amassing just 221 yards, placing them 135th in that category.

First downs have been a strong point for the Eagles, securing 70 so far this season and ranking 37th. This indicates their ability to sustain drives and control possession.

Defensive Stance

Defensively, the Eagles have been effective in creating pressure with 8 sacks, placing them 10th. Their ability to recover fumbles is impressive, with a ranking of 5th, demonstrating their opportunistic nature on defense.

However, the team has allowed 82 points against, which ranks them 55th, suggesting room for improvement in limiting opponent scoring opportunities.

Quarterback Dynamics

Dylan Lonergan leads the charge at quarterback for Boston College, playing all three games and accumulating 991 passing yards, which ranks him 28th nationally. His 9 passing touchdowns show his effectiveness in the red zone.

Despite his success, Lonergan has thrown 1 interception, but his performance overall has been pivotal to the Eagles’ offensive strategy.

Receiving Corps

Lewis Bond stands out in the receiving corps with 29 receptions, placing him 4th in the nation. His 275 receiving yards highlight his role as a key target for Lonergan.

Reed Harris adds depth to the lineup with 196 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, providing additional options for the quarterback.

Rushing Concerns

Turbo Richard leads the rushing attack with 158 yards, a ranking of 186th, indicating struggles in establishing a dominant ground game. His two rushing touchdowns show potential, but the team will need more balance to keep defenses honest.

Complementary backs like Jordan McDonald and others have yet to make a significant impact, with their rushing yards collectively falling short of expectations.

Team Betting Trends

  • O/U – All Games: 9-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – Totals ≥ 50: 6-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 6-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – As Favorite: 10-1 (90.9%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – Home Games: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – Home Games: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Loss: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – As Favorite: 4-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: 4-0 (100.0%)

California’s Quest Continues: Golden Bears’ Road Challenge Ahead

Offensive Insights

The California Golden Bears have struggled to find offensive consistency in the early 2025 season, ranking 55th in points scored with just 96 points. Their passing game has been a brighter spot, ranking 38th with 1023 yards, driven by standout performances from quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele. However, their ground game remains a concern, ranking 108th with only 438 rushing yards, indicating a need for improved balance.

California’s offensive line has facilitated 73 first downs, placing them 35th, which demonstrates their ability to move the chains through the air. The offense’s reliance on passing is further illustrated by Sagapolutele’s 980 passing yards, ranking him 31st nationally. Still, the lack of rushing touchdowns from top RB Kendrick Raphael may indicate a need for more effective red zone rushing strategies.

Defensive Dynamics

Defensively, the Golden Bears have been formidable, ranking 41st in points against, allowing just 66 points so far. Their pass defense has been particularly effective, with 3 interceptions ranking 4th nationally, showcasing their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks into mistakes. The defensive line has also contributed significantly with 6 sacks, ranked 12th, indicating strong pass-rush capabilities.

California’s defense is strengthened by their ability to recover fumbles, ranking 4th with 2 recoveries this season. This opportunistic defense has played a critical role in maintaining competitive games, despite the team’s offensive struggles. Continued defensive dominance will be vital as they face upcoming opponents.

Recent Game Performance

California’s recent games have been a mixed bag, highlighted by a commanding 35-3 victory against Texas Southern Tigers. However, their most recent outing was a disappointing 34-0 loss to San Diego State, highlighting the need for offensive improvement. Their passing game showed potential against Minnesota with 279 yards, but inconsistencies remain.

The team managed to secure a win against Oregon State Beavers, 34-15, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opponents’ turnovers. However, the offensive line’s inability to create substantial rushing opportunities remains a pressing issue. The Bears’ success largely depends on their ability to translate passing yards into points.

Player Highlights

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has been a standout performer for the Bears, leading their passing game with 6 touchdowns. His connection with WR Trond Grizzell, who leads the team with 266 receiving yards, has been crucial for California’s offensive production. The Bears’ passing attack is their primary strength, and further development could prove beneficial.

On the ground, Kendrick Raphael leads with 237 rushing yards, yet the team has struggled to establish a consistent rushing attack. While the Bears’ receiving corps has shown depth with contributors like Jacob De Jesus and Mason Mini, more balanced offensive contributions could enhance their scoring potential. Improving the running game will be key to diversifying their offensive strategy.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 18-4 in last 22 games (81.8%)
  • SU – Home Games: 3-0 in last 3 games (100.0%)
  • SU – After Loss: 3-0 in last 3 games (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Loss: 12-4-1 in last 17 games (70.6%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: 17-10 in last 27 games (63.0%)
  • ATS – After Loss: 18-11 in last 29 games (62.1%)
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: 9-4 in last 13 games (69.2%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: 11-6 in last 17 games (64.7%)

Boston College vs California Prediction: Boston College -6.5

Boston College’s strong home record and recent betting trends indicate their potential to cover the spread of -6.5 against California. The Eagles have been effective at Alumni Stadium, holding a perfect home record this season. Their ATS performance over the last five home games stands at 5-0, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure.

California’s road struggles this season, with a 1-1 away record, further support a pick in favor of Boston College. Despite their 3-1 overall record, the Golden Bears have shown vulnerability on the road, which could be exploited by the Eagles. Boston College’s offensive statistics, notably in passing yards, give them an edge against California’s defense.

The Eagles have consistently succeeded as favorites, with a 10-1 record in such situations over the past two years. This trend, along with their defensive strength at home, makes them a reliable pick to cover the -6.5 spread. Given these factors, a projected score of Boston College 34, California 24 aligns well with the expectations.

Expect Boston College to leverage their home-field advantage and recent form to secure a decisive victory over the Golden Bears. The combination of their offensive firepower and California’s road inconsistencies provides a clear rationale for backing Boston College to cover the spread.

  • Boston College vs California Prediction: Boston College -6.5
  • Boston College vs California Score: Boston College 34 – California 24
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