CFB Game Prediction

Boise State vs UNLV Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 8 on 10/18/2025

Want our best Boise State vs UNLV prediction for 10/18/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the UNLV travel to Boise State in Week 8 on 10/18/25 at Albertsons Stadium, in Boise State. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 8 of the 2025 college football season, the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels travel to Boise, ID to take on the Boise State Broncos. This afternoon game kicks off at 3:30 PM at Albertsons Stadium, with coverage available on FS1. Both teams share the Mountain West Conference, adding to the stakes of this encounter.

UNLV enters the game with an impressive 6-0 record, maintaining an unblemished 3-0 on the road. Their recent victory against Air Force, where they won 51-48, showcased their ability to handle high-scoring affairs. The Rebels’ overall performance this season has been strong, as they aim to continue their unbeaten streak.

Boise State boasts a solid 4-2 record with an impeccable 3-0 home record, making Albertsons Stadium a fortress this season. They come off a 41-25 win against New Mexico, highlighting their strength at home. As both teams hold a 2-0 conference record, this game could play a pivotal role in determining the Mountain West standings.

Boise State vs UNLV At a Glance

  • Game Time: The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will play the Boise State Broncos on Saturday, October 18, 2025, at 3:30 PM.
  • Location: The game will take place at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID, which features an outdoor field.
  • Broadcast Information: Tune in to FS1 to catch the game live on television.
  • Boise State Record: The Broncos hold a 4-2 record this season, with a perfect 3-0 home record.
  • UNLV Record: The Runnin’ Rebels are undefeated with a 6-0 record, maintaining a 3-0 road record.
  • Betting Odds: Boise State is favored with a moneyline of -418, while UNLV sits at +324.

Boise State Broncos: A Powerhouse Awaits UNLV Runnin’ Rebels

Offensive Performance Overview

The Boise State Broncos have shown a balanced offensive attack this season. With 1,647 passing yards, they rank 32nd nationally, while their rushing game has accumulated 1,153 yards, placing them 37th. Their ability to move the chains is evident as they rank 15th in first downs with 145.

Last season, Boise State’s offense was even more explosive, ranking 6th in points with 522. They excelled on the ground, ranking 4th with 3,392 rushing yards, showing a historic strength in their running game.

Defensive Strengths and Challenges

Defensively, the Broncos have been solid, recording 13 sacks this season to rank 13th. Their interception tally of 7 ranks 8th, reflecting their ability to disrupt the passing game effectively.

However, they have allowed 152 points this season, ranking 87th, indicating room for improvement in limiting opponent scoring. Despite this, their ability to recover fumbles is notable, ranking 6th with 3 recoveries.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been a standout, leading the team with 1,570 passing yards and ranking 24th nationally. His 11 passing touchdowns further solidify his role as a key contributor to Boise State’s offensive success.

On the ground, Dylan Riley has made significant contributions with 494 rushing yards, ranking 32nd. His performance is complemented by his 5 rushing touchdowns, making him a pivotal part of the Broncos’ offensive arsenal.

Boise State Broncos Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: Last 22 Games (2023–2025) → 21-1 (95.5%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 15 Games (2023–2025) → 15-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – All Games: Last 5 Games (2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Ready to Take on the Boise State Broncos

Offensive Dynamics

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels enter this game with a solid offensive unit. Currently ranked 20th in points for, they have accumulated 229 points so far in the 2025 season. Their rushing game stands out, with 1211 rushing yards ranking them 30th nationally.

The passing game has been effective, with the Rebels accumulating 1456 passing yards, placing them 57th in the rankings. First downs have been a strength as well, with the team achieving 134, which ranks them 25th. The offensive balance will be crucial as they aim to sustain drives against Boise State.

Defensive Insights

Defensively, the Runnin’ Rebels have faced challenges, allowing 178 points, ranking them 106th. However, they have been effective at creating turnovers, with nine interceptions ranking them 10th. Additionally, their ability to recover fumbles is notable, placing them 4th nationally with five recoveries.

Sacks have been another area of strength for the defense, with seven sacks, placing them 19th. This ability to pressure the quarterback will be key in disrupting Boise State’s offensive rhythm. The Rebels will need to tighten their defensive unit to limit the Broncos’ scoring opportunities.

Recent Performance

UNLV has shown resilience, coming off a thrilling 51-48 win against Air Force. In this high-scoring game, the Rebels managed to secure victory despite allowing 428 rushing yards. Their ability to score in clutch moments will be important as they face Boise State.

Previously, the Rebels recorded a 31-17 win over Wyoming, showcasing their ability to win on the road. They will look to build on this road success as they prepare for the challenges Boise State presents. Consistency will be key in maintaining their winning momentum.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has been pivotal for the Rebels, with 1403 passing yards and 10 touchdowns over six games. His performance will be central to the Rebels’ offensive game plan. Running back Jai’Den Thomas, with 577 rushing yards and six touchdowns, will also be a crucial contributor.

In the receiving corps, Jaden Bradley leads with 493 yards and two touchdowns. His ability to stretch the field will be vital in opening up the Broncos’ defense. Var’Keyes Gumms, a tight end, offers another reliable target, especially in red-zone situations.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 24-3 in the last 27 games (88.9%)
  • SU – Away Games: 11-1 in the last 12 games (91.7%)
  • SU – All Games: 24-6 in the last 30 games (80.0%)
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: 15-3 in the last 18 games (83.3%)
  • SU – Home Games: 5-0 in the last 5 games (100.0%)
  • SU – After Win: 5-0 in the last 5 games (100.0%)
  • ATS – Away Games: 22-7 in the last 29 games (75.9%)
  • SU – After Loss: 4-0 in the last 4 games (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Loss: 14-4-1 in the last 19 games (73.7%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: 11-3 in the last 14 games (78.6%)

Boise State vs UNLV Prediction: Over 63.5

The upcoming game between Boise State and UNLV has a total set at 63.5 points. Both teams have shown impressive offensive capabilities this season. Boise State ranks 38th in points for, scoring 202 points across their games, while UNLV ranks 20th, scoring 229 points. This suggests a high-scoring encounter is likely.

Boise State’s recent games have consistently surpassed high totals, with their last three games at home going over the number. Additionally, UNLV’s offensive prowess combined with Boise State’s scoring ability at home points towards a game where both teams can contribute significantly to the scoreboard.

The historical data further supports an over pick, as Boise State has covered the over in 63% of games with totals set at 50 or more since 2023. Given the offensive strength of both teams and the patterns observed in their recent performances, the expectation is for a combined score exceeding the set total.

Taking into account Boise State’s offensive home trends and UNLV’s ability to put up points on the board, the best play here is on the over. A projected final score that aligns with this prediction is Boise State 38 – UNLV 31.

  • Boise State vs UNLV Prediction: Over 63.5
  • Boise State vs UNLV Score: Boise State 38 – UNLV 31
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