Week 4 of the 2025 College Football Regular Season brings an exciting game between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Baylor Bears. The game will be held at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas, with kickoff set for 7:30 PM on Saturday, September 20, 2025. Fans can catch the action live on FOX.
Both teams enter this game with identical 2-1 records, setting the stage for a competitive encounter. Arizona State holds a 2-0 home record but has yet to secure a win on the road, while Baylor is 1-1 at home and undefeated on the road. This will be the first conference game for both teams this season in the Big 12.
Recent performances indicate both teams are in good form, with Arizona State recently defeating Texas State 34-15, and Baylor winning against Samford 42-7. The odds slightly favor Baylor with a moneyline of -129, suggesting a closely contested game. The spread sees Baylor at -1.5, and the total points over/under is set at 59.5.
Baylor vs Arizona State At a Glance
- Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 7:30 PM
- Venue: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX
- TV Channel: FOX
- Arizona State Record: 2-1 this season
- Baylor Record: 2-1 this season
- Game Odds: Baylor is favored with a moneyline of -129
Baylor Bears Ready to Roar: A Preview of Their Upcoming Game
Offensive Overview
The Baylor Bears offense has been a standout in the 2025 season, particularly in the passing game. With 1,104 passing yards, they rank 4th nationally, showcasing their aerial attack. Their rushing game, however, ranks 69th with 448 yards, indicating room for improvement.
Their ability to move the chains is evident in their 84 first downs, placing them 6th nationally. This demonstrates a balanced offensive approach that effectively keeps drives alive and puts points on the board.
Defensive Analysis
Defensively, the Bears have allowed 90 points, ranking 73rd, showing some vulnerabilities. However, they have been effective in creating turnovers, with 4 interceptions and 5th in fumbles recovered.
Their defensive line has also been impressive, accumulating 5 sacks, placing them 10th nationally. This indicates a solid pass rush that could disrupt opposing quarterbacks.
Recent Performances
In their recent game against Samford, the Bears dominated with a 42-7 victory. Their defense limited Samford to just 10 first downs, while the offense tallied 29, showcasing their overall dominance.
Against SMU, Baylor showed resilience in a high-scoring 48-45 win. Their passing attack was exceptional, with 440 yards, highlighting their ability to win in shootout scenarios.
Key Players
Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has been pivotal, with 1,070 passing yards and 10 touchdowns, ranking 2nd in the league. This level of performance establishes him as a crucial player for the Bears.
On the ground, Bryson Washington leads with 304 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, ranking him 13th in the league. His contributions are essential to balancing the offensive attack.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 5 Games → 5-0 (100.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 8 Games → 7-1 (87.5%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 8 Games → 7-1 (87.5%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 11 Games → 9-2 (81.8%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 14 Games → 11-3 (78.6%)
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 4 Games → 3-0-1 (75.0%)
Arizona State Sun Devils Look to Continue Winning Ways on the Road
Offensive Performance
Arizona State’s offense ranks 41st in the nation, having accumulated 92 points over the course of the 2025 season. Their rushing attack has been particularly effective, ranking 15th with 706 yards. The passing game, however, has been less productive, sitting at 97th with only 527 yards.
Sam Leavitt leads the offense at quarterback, with a total of 527 passing yards and 5 touchdowns across three games. On the ground, Raleek Brown has been a standout performer with 292 rushing yards, placing him 17th nationally in that category.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, the Sun Devils have allowed 58 points so far, ranking them 43rd in points against. Their pass rush has been highly effective, with 11 sacks, positioning them 4th in the nation. Additionally, their secondary has been active, with 1 interception contributing to their defensive efforts.
Despite some defensive strengths, the unit has yet to recover any fumbles this season. This suggests an area for potential improvement in creating turnover opportunities and capitalizing on opponent mistakes.
Recent Game Performance
In their most recent game, Arizona State secured a 34-15 victory over Texas State at home. Their rushing attack was dominant, amassing 252 yards compared to Texas State’s 120. The passing game was evenly matched, with both teams hovering around the 180-yard mark.
Prior to that, the Sun Devils faced a setback against Mississippi State, losing 24-20 despite outperforming their opponents in rushing yards with 251 yards to Mississippi State’s 73. The passing game struggled significantly, with only 82 yards through the air.
Injury Concerns
Arizona State is dealing with several key injuries, including Kyson Brown, who is questionable with an ankle issue. Defensive lineman MyKeil Gardner is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles. These injuries could impact their depth, especially in the rushing game and defensive line.
Jalen Moss, a wide receiver, is also questionable with a foot injury, which could affect their passing game. The Sun Devils will need to adjust their strategy to mitigate these potential absences.
Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: 9-0 in their last 9 games (2024–2025)
- SU – As Favorite: 11-1 in their last 12 games (2022–2025)
- SU – All Games: 8-1 in their last 9 games (2024–2025)
- ATS – Home Games: 8-1 in their last 9 games (2024–2025)
- SU – After Loss: 4-0 in their last 4 games (2024–2025)
- ATS – After Loss: 4-0 in their last 4 games (2024–2025)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: 7-1 in their last 8 games (2024–2025)
- SU – After Win: 6-1 in their last 7 games (2024–2025)
- ATS – All Games: 12-4 in their last 16 games (2024–2025)
- ATS – As Favorite: 8-2 in their last 10 games (2024–2025)
Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction: Over 59.5
The upcoming game between Baylor and Arizona State sets up for a high-scoring event given both teams’ offensive capabilities. Baylor ranks 24th in points scored with 114, while Arizona State has demonstrated a potent rushing attack ranked 15th with 706 yards. With Baylor’s high-powered passing game, 4th in the nation, it is likely that they will push the tempo and score points quickly.
Both teams have shown susceptibility on defense, which should allow for an offensive showcase. Baylor has allowed 90 points this season, ranked 73rd, while Arizona State has conceded 58 points, ranking them 43rd. These defensive vulnerabilities align with a game that is likely to go over the total points line.
Historical trends for Baylor suggest a propensity for high-scoring games, particularly when the total is above 50. With a record of 7-2-1 in over/under for all games recently, there’s a strong indication the over might hit again. Additionally, Arizona State’s past games have demonstrated their ability to score against quality opponents.
Combining both teams’ current form and the favorable conditions for offenses to thrive, an over bet on the total of 59.5 appears to be a solid play. The projected scoreline reflects this prediction with both teams contributing to a high total.
- Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction: Over 59.5
- Baylor vs Arizona State Score: Baylor 38 – Arizona State 31
