UNCG Spartans vs VMI Keydets Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UNCG vs VMI NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Lexington.

UNCG vs VMI Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Spartans and Keydets. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Keydets at Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA. Get ready to place your bets! In this Southern matchup, UNCG is favored bt -7 vs. VMI. The over/under for the game is 140.5 points.

UNCG vs. VMI Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UNCG Spartans at VMI Keydets
Where: Lexington at Cameron Hall
Date: Saturday, January 25th
Betting Odds NCG -7, NCG -260 | VAMIL +210 O/U 140.5

Spartans Preview: Will the Spartans Defense Show Up on the Road?

UNCG Spartans Recent Game/Games

The Spartans fell to 9-8 on the season after a 79-78 home loss to Mercer on Wednesday. UNCG, who entered the game as -8.5 favorites, failed to cover the spread.

Despite leading 48-35 at halftime, the Spartans struggled in the second half, scoring just 30 points while allowing 44. The total points for the game ended at 157, surpassing the O/U line of 145.5.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Ahmad Robinson's 33-point performance on 10-of-19 shooting, including 4-of-7 from deep, led UNCG to a 78-point outing in their last game. Ronald Polite III added 20 points and 8 rebounds, hitting 3-of-6 from beyond the arc, while Tyler Johnson contributed 17 points and 7 boards.

Despite shooting just 35.8% from the field and 34.3% from three, the Spartans made 12 threes and connected on 85.7% of their free throws (18-of-21). They also grabbed 17 offensive rebounds, with Demetrius Davis pulling down 10 boards overall.

Spartans Team Defense

Despite UNCG's defensive efforts, they allowed 79 points in their previous game, with the opposing team shooting 35% from the field. The Spartans held their opponent to 37% on two-point attempts, with 12 made shots out of 32.

From beyond the arc, UNCG's defense saw their opponent hit 12 threes on 35 attempts, a 34% shooting rate. The Spartans also sent their opponent to the line 21 times, where they converted 18 free throws at an 85% clip. UNCG gave up 17 offensive rebounds in the game.

Keydets Preview: Does VMI Have What it Takes at Home?

VMI improved to 5-11 on the season with a 91-82 win over Furman on Wednesday. The Keydets were +9.5 underdogs going into the game but pulled off the upset at home.

VMI led 43-36 at halftime and scored 48 points in the 2nd half while allowing 46. The game’s total points of 173 exceeded the O/U line of 143.5.

Keydets Offense Breakdown

VMI's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 91 points with a 51.8% shooting percentage from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 60.7%, thanks in part to hitting 40.9% from three-point range, connecting on 9 of 22 attempts. They were also nearly perfect from the free-throw line, converting 24 of 27 for an 88.9% rate.

Augustinas Kiudulas led the way with 22 points, while Rickey Bradley Jr. added 19. PJay Smith Jr. and Charles Johnston each contributed 18 points, with Johnston also grabbing 11 rebounds. Ben VanderWal was a force on the boards as well, pulling down 12 rebounds to go along with his 15 points.

Keydets Team Defense

VMI's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 82 points on 51% shooting from the field. The opposing team found success inside, hitting 58% of their two-point attempts, going 20/34.

From beyond the arc, VMI allowed 9 threes on 22 attempts, a 40% shooting clip. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 27 times, where they converted 24 free throws, an 88% rate. VMI did limit offensive rebounds, giving up just 5.

Spartans vs Keydets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last three road contests, UNCG has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 76 points per game.
Although VMI has a straight up record of 1-9 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Keydets have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Spartans have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.