Texas State Bobcats vs UT Arlington Mavericks Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UT Arlington vs Texas State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in San Marcos.

UT Arlington vs Texas State Prediction

Betting on today's Mavericks and Bobcats game? Catch the action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX, as the Bobcats hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149.5 points, and Texas State is favored by -6.5 at home against UT Arlington.

UT Arlington vs. Texas State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UT Arlington Mavericks at Texas State Bobcats
Where: San Marcos at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Betting Odds TXST -6.5, TXA +204 | TXST -259 O/U 149.5

Mavericks Preview: Is a Win at San Marcos Possible for the Mavericks?

UT Arlington fell to 4-7 on the season after a 79-56 road loss to Liberty on Saturday. The Mavericks entered the game as +9.5 underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 135, falling short of the 142.5 O/U line.

After trailing 39-22 at halftime, UT Arlington put up 34 points in the 2nd half but allowed 40, making it difficult to mount a comeback.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

UT Arlington's offense struggled in their last game, managing just 56 points on 31.4% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 32.9%, and they hit only 2 of 20 three-point attempts, shooting 10% from beyond the arc. They were more successful at the free-throw line, converting 10 of 12 attempts for 83.3%.

The Mavericks grabbed 18 offensive rebounds but recorded just 4 assists. Kaden Metheny led the team with 25 points, hitting 7 of 13 threes at a 53.8% clip. Zach Cleveland and Taelon Peter each added 18 points, with Peter shooting 63.6% overall and 50% from three.

Mavericks Team Defense

UT Arlington's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 79 points on 52% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 63% of their two-point attempts, going 12/19 inside the arc.

From three-point range, the Mavericks' defense gave up 15 threes on 32 attempts, a 46% shooting performance. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 14 times, where they made 10 free throws, shooting 71%.

Bobcats Preview: Will Texas State Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

Texas State Bobcats Recent Game/Games

Texas State improved to 6-4 on the season with a dominant 83-61 win over Georgia Southern on Saturday, December 21st. Playing at home, the Bobcats were -8 favorites and covered the spread with the victory.

Texas State led 42-33 at halftime and continued their strong play in the 2nd half, outscoring the Eagles 41-28. The game’s total points of 144 fell just under the O/U line of 148.5.

Bobcats Offense Breakdown

Texas State's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 83 points on 53.6% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 58.9%, with a strong performance from beyond the arc, hitting 42.9% of their threes (6/14). At the free-throw line, they were nearly automatic, connecting on 85% (17/20).

The Bobcats shared the ball well, dishing out 20 assists, and grabbed 10 offensive rebounds. Tylan Pope led the way with 23 points in just 21 minutes, shooting 87.5% (7/8) and hitting his only three-point attempt. Tyrel Morgan added 19 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 53.8% overall and 50% from deep (2/4).

Bobcats Team Defense

Despite Texas State's defensive struggles, they held their opponent to 61 points. The Bobcats allowed 53% shooting from the field, with 30 made baskets on 56 attempts.

Inside the arc, Texas State gave up 24 two-point field goals on 42 attempts, a 57% success rate. From three-point range, their opponent hit 6 of 14 shots, shooting 42%. The Bobcats also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 20 times, where they made 17 free throws, an 85% rate.

Mavericks vs Bobcats Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 75 points per game while allowing an average of 78. UT Arlington posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 6-4 ATS.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Texas State has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
As the betting favorite, the Bobcats have an ATS mark of just 10-0 in their last ten games. Texas State posted a straight up mark of 10-0 in these matchups.