Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Texas State vs Troy NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Troy.

Texas State vs Troy Prediction

Betting on today's Bobcats and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 135.5 points, and Troy is favored by -6.5 vs. Texas State in a Sun Belt conference matchup.

Texas State vs. Troy Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Texas State Bobcats at Troy Trojans
Where: Troy at Trojan Arena
Date: Thursday, January 9th
Betting Odds TROY -6.5, TXST +235 | TROY -298 O/U 135.5

Bobcats Preview: Do the Bobcats Stand a Chance in Troy?

Texas State fell to 6-7 on the season after a 72-61 road loss to Appalachian State on Saturday. The Bobcats entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 133, just under the O/U line of 133.5.

Texas State trailed 38-30 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 31 points while allowing 34.

Bobcats Offense Breakdown

Texas State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.7% from the field and 38.5% on two-point attempts. They hit 36.4% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 22 threes, and were perfect from the free-throw line, going 7 for 7.

Myles Tate led the way with 22 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 4 of 6 from three-point range. Alonzo Dodd also shot 66.7% from deep, finishing with 14 points, while Dylan Dawson added 14 points, going 4 for 6 from three.

Bobcats Team Defense

Despite Texas State's defensive efforts, they allowed 72 points on 52% shooting from the field. The Bobcats struggled to contain the three-point line, where the opposing team hit 12 of 22 attempts, good for 54%.

Inside the arc, Texas State's defense gave up 15 two-point field goals on 29 attempts, a 51% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 9 times, where they converted 6 free throws.

Trojans Preview: Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Troy?

Troy Trojans Recent Game/Games

The Trojans improved to 8-4 on the season with a narrow 58-57 win over Marshall on Saturday. Troy entered the game as -1.5 point favorites, but while they got the win, they didn’t cover the spread. The combined points of 115 fell well short of the O/U line of 144.5.

Troy’s defense stepped up in the second half, allowing just 26 points while scoring 39 of their own to complete the comeback. They trailed 31-19 at halftime but turned things around to secure the victory.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

The Trojans struggled offensively in their last game, managing just 58 points on 37.3% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.1%, and they hit only 22.6% from beyond the arc, connecting on 7 of 31 attempts.

Inside the arc, Troy shot 60%, with Obinna Anochili-Killen going 8-for-12 from the field, finishing with 17 points and 9 rebounds. Tayton Conerway added 20 points, hitting 4 of 9 from three-point range and 8 of 15 overall.

Trojans Team Defense

Even with Troy sending the opposition to the line 17 times, they managed to hold them to just 57 points. The Trojans' defense was particularly effective from beyond the arc, where they limited their opponents to just 3 made threes on 16 attempts, an 18% shooting performance.

Inside the arc, the opposition shot 47%, converting 19 of their 40 two-point attempts. Troy also gave up 16 offensive rebounds, which contributed to the 17 free-throw attempts, where the opponents made 10, shooting 58% from the line.

Bobcats vs Trojans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Bobcats have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
Troy has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 56 points per game while allowing 60. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Bobcats have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-2-1.
Troy has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.